2018 Women’s Singles Wimbledon Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • 1st July 2018
2018 Women’s Singles Wimbledon Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

As well as the Men’s Singles outright, our man Marcello Cossali-Francis (@marchCF96) has previewed the women’s side of the draw assessing the favourites, dark horses and outside value bets in the men’s draw ahead of the start of the tournament next week.

2018 Women’s Singles Wimbledon Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Firstly, let’s look at the outright winners market.

Women’s Singles Outright Winners Market

As with the men’s game, Wimbledon has a tendency to follow a particular trend. That trend tends to be that if your name ends in Williams, you have a very good chance of winning. Serena and Venus have, between them, won 12 of the last 18 tournaments and, especially Serena in the last nine years, has won five of those. Her return back to the game after maternity has been well publicised, with many believing she should not have lost her seed during that time, which will make her route to a potential final that little bit more difficult. Serena is currently second favourite to win the title at 6/1 which would be a crazy price has she not been out for almost a year and struggled with an injury in the French Open. She pulled out of that tournament before her match against Maria Sharapova and has played just seven singles matches this season in all, winning five and losing two. There is no doubting her dominance at SW19 through her career as she has reached the final in nine of her last 11 appearances at the tournament since winning her first Wimbldon in 2002, winning seven of those. She has lost just 10 matches in her career at this tournament and the outcome of the women’s game is very much down to the fitness of Serena.

As for the rest of the contenders, the two-time Wimbledon Champion, Petra Kvitova, is the official favourite to win at 5/1 having won the title in 2011 and 2014 and she has won five singles titles this year. Her season record reads 37 wins and 7 losses but does include two disappointing results in the French and Australian Open, losing in the third and first round respectively. She is seeded number 8 for the tournament and finds herself in the same side of the draw as number 1 seed Simona Halep and reigning champion, Garbine Muguruza, as well as the likes of Angelique Kerber, Joanna Konta and 2004 champion, Maria Sharapova.

Garbine Muguruza is third favourite and has looked impressive this season. At 8/1, the reigning Wimbledon champion could be some good value but her form this season, other than reaching the French Open semi-final, has not been particularly good, having won just one title and a record of 21 wins and 11 defeats. Her French Open exploits would give you some reason to back her and the fact she is the reigning champion also boosts her chances, but that win was a Wimbledon without Serena. On her day she could do it, but it remains to be seen as to whether she can back up last year’s performance.

The rest of the field is hard to separate, with so many potential winners in there. Simona Halep, who won her first ever Grand-Slam final at the fourth time of asking, is number one seed but as already mentioned, there are plenty of challengers in that side of the draw, but at 14/1 she could be good value on the back of a Grand-Slam win. Sharapova and Venus Williams are seasoned Grand-Slam winners and will be a match for most and at 25/1 and 50/1 respectively, they are ones to watch. However, Venus has not won at SW19 since 2008 and Sharapova has struggled for form since her return from the doping ban.

Outsiders

Looking further down the order, it is hard to know who could prevail to the latter stages. The women’s game is always very competitive and Serena is the only real consistent player when she has played. Otherwise, the American pair of Sloane Stephens and Madison Keys at 20/1 look the next best. Stephens reached the final of the French and at such a young age, she is someone full of energy and an all-round game to match anyone’s. They are both inexperienced players in Grand-Slams but it looks certain they will both be big players in years to come.

British hopes rely on the shoulders of Johanna Konta and Heather Watson, who will both want to do well in-front of the home crowd. Konta has had a pretty miserable season, not winning a single title and a match record of 15 wins and 13 losses, which does not make for great reading. As for Watson, she has also had a very difficult season, losing more games than she has won with 10 wins and 15 losses in all and it would be very surprising to see her get into the second-week.

Betting Odds (Best Price)

  • Petra Kvitova – 5/1
  • Serena Williams – 6/1
  • Garbine Muguruza – 9/1
  • Angelique Kerber – 12/1
  • Simona Halep – 14/1
  • Karolina Pliskova – 18/1
  • Sloane Stephens – 20/1
  • Madison Keys – 20/1
  • Caroline Wozniaki – 25/1
  • Maria Sharapova – 25/1
  • Johanna Konta – 40/1
  • Heather Watson – 900/1

The Verdict

The outcome of this tournament is very much based on the fitness of Serena Williams as I have already mentioned. She is almost un-beatable at this tournament over the years and her powerful play is too much for any player in the women’s game at the moment.

Simona Halep I think is most likely to challenge her, given she is the number 1 player in the world right now and coming off the back of her first grand-slam should give her great confidence. However, if Serena is not fully-fit, then the field is wide open and anyone in that top 20 is capable of getting to the final.

Garbine Muguruza won it last year and watch out for her to go well here also but there is a lot of inconsistency in the women’s game, so expect the unexpected.

Recommended Bets

  • Serena Williams To Win @ 6/1 (bet365)
  • Simone Halep To Reach The Final @ 6/1 (bet365)