2019 Australian Open Day 3 Betting Preview & Tips

2019 Australian Open Day 3 Betting Preview & Tips

Tennis specialist Craig Vickers (@craigvickers_) previews day three of the men’s Australian Open and provides us with his best bets.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +0.61pts

2019 Australian Open Day 3 Betting Preview & Tips

  • Date: 16 January
  • Time: 00:00
  • Venue: Melbourne Park, City of Melbourne, Australia
  • Channel: Eurosport UK

Wednesday marks day three at the 2019 Australian Open as we move into the second round of the men’s draw and the tournament, unfortunately for bettors, has served up very few opening round shocks.

Conditions are set to be cooler in Melbourne than the natives have experienced in the last two days.

And just like Monday, we went 1-for-2 in yesterday’s picks with Pablo Carreno-Busta mounting a comeback against the qualifier Luca Vanni after finding himself two sets down. Guido Pella, unfortunately, couldn’t get over the line after forcing a fifth set against Joao Sousa.

Nevertheless, Roger Federer faces Dan Evans – whom he played at Wimbledon in 2016 – as he seeks a place in the third round while Rafael Nadal clashes with home favourite Matt Ebden in the evening on Rod Laver Arena.

Andy Murray’s journey may be over in Melbourne, but there is value in opposing the man who stuck a dagger through the hearts of the British public on Monday, Roberto Bautista-Agut.

Key Stats and Facts

The Spaniard will face the Australian John Millman at around 6AM GMT in the Melbourne Arena and he could be in danger if Millman produces his best tennis.

Few will need reminding of the Australian’s stunning victory over Federer at the US Open last year and such a victory ought to have given Millman massive belief in his ability as he steps out infront of a noisy Australian crowd.

The world number 37 was edged out on a tie-break against Gilles Simon at the Sydney International last week and he possesses the game to frustrate the gritty Spaniard, who will surely be fatigued after his efforts against Murray in the previous round.

Bautista-Agut was in command against the five-time finalist when he led by two sets and a break, but he allowed Murray back into the contest as he began to cede control in rallies as the partisan crowd inside the Melbourne Arena – all rooting in the opposite direction – cranked up the volume.

Well-documented, as well, is Bautista-Agut’s dismal record at Grand Slams – especially considering his high level at tour-level events – having failed to get past the fourth round at any major in his career.

Millman to win at 5/2 is worth a punt, or backing him to cover the +5.5 game handicap on bet365 at 4/5.

Elsewhere, Pablo Cuevas to cover the +6.5 game handicap in his clash against 2017 semi-finalist Grigor Dimitrov on Court 3 at around 7:30AM GMT is one which catches the eye.

The Uruguayan, though an incredibly talented ball striker, has an abysmal record at the Grand Slams having never reached further than the second round at both hard court majors in his career.

His only win before Monday at either the Australian or US Open since 2016 was against a near-retired Mikhail Youzhny twelve months ago, but he matches up well against his Bulgarian opponent and dismissed Dusan Lajovic without too much of a fuss in round one.

Dimitrov dropped the first set against Janko Tipsarevic on Monday before recovering to win in four sets on Monday and by his own admission he was well below par.

The Bulgarian does tend to reserve his best form at Grand Slams for Melbourne but he also flirts with danger during the early rounds, like his 10-8 in the fifth set win over Mackenzie McDonald in the second round last year.

Dimitrov should prevail, but Cuevas is more than capable of keeping it close.

Meanwhile, the aforementioned McDonald could trouble Marin Cilic in their contest after the American’s strong showing over Andrey Rublev in round one.

Cilic himself also surprised many with the ease in which he dispatched Bernard Tomic, but McDonald to cover +6.5 handicap at evens is also potentially worth a flutter.

Recommended Bets

  • 1pt – John Millman to win 5/2 – 13/10 (bet365)
  • 0.5pts – Pablo Cuevas +6.5 games – 1/1 (bet365)