2019 Australian Open Day 4 Betting Preview & Tips

2019 Australian Open Day 4 Betting Preview & Tips

Tennis specialist Craig Vickers (@craigvickers_) previews day four of the men’s Australian Open and provides us with his best bets.

  • 2019 Profit and Loss: -0.89

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2019 Australian Open Day 4 Betting Preview & Tips

  • Date: 17 January
  • Time: 00:00
  • Venue: Melbourne Park, City of Melbourne, Australia
  • Channel: Eurosport UK

Thursday marks day four at the 2019 Australian Open as the top half of the men’s draw take to the court to conclude the second round of action.

Conditions are set to be similar to Wednesday, with a slight breeze in the air.

We endured our first winless day yesterday as Pablo Cuevas fell within one game of covering our +6.5 game handicap in his four set loss to Grigor Dimitrov. Even more agonisingly, John Millman fought back from two sets down against Roberto Bautista-Agut to level the contest, but the Spaniard raised his level in the deciding set to seal his place in the third round.

Moving on, however, the second round concludes with Novak Djokovic facing a revitalised Jo-Wilfried Tsonga in the evening session on Rod Laver Arena while fourth seed Alexander Zverev meets the Frenchman Gilles Simon.

The first round contained very few shocks in the top half of the draw, but the hope is that we can avenge a lean day on Wednesday with two value picks today.

Key Stats & Facts

The first match where money can be made is in Pierre-Hugues Herbert’s clash with last year’s semi-finalist Hyeon Chung at around 3AM GMT on the Melbourne Arena.

Chung required a feat of escapology to move past the American Bradley Klahn in the previous round and most worrying was the two tie-breaks in which he lost – even if underlying statistics show those setbacks will even themselves out.

The South Korean was the superior player throughout  but the last situation he will have wanted in his opening match in Melbourne was a gruelling five-setter.

Chung has already revealed he is wearing custom made shoes to help prevent blisters – the kind of which forced his retirement in the last four twelve months ago – and with quite a few miles on the clock already he can be opposed.

Herbert ended the year in fine form and he has reached round three in Melbourne before. The Frenchman also showed great poise to rally from a set down against Sam Querrey in the first round and, boasting a menacing serve, could easily expose Chung as he aims to preserve his brittle body. At 13/10 to win, Herbert represents value.

Elsewhere, Evgeny Donskoy could continue his destruction of Serbian players when he takes on Filip Krajinovic on Court 2 at around 3AM GMT.

The latter won the first five-set match of his career against Marco Cecchinato in the first round and he is very fortunate to be among the names in the second round having trailed by two sets and 5-3 before mounting the comeback.

Credit is due there, but Krajinovic, like Chung before him, will be keen to avoid the lengthy tussles at Grand Slam level having had such a wretched injury history in his career.

Donskoy, meanwhile, played very well in his four-set triumph over Laslo Djere in the first round and he was unfortunate not to get the job done in straights after losing a single mini-break in the opening set tie-break.

From there on he lost his serve only once and he is undoubtedly fitter heading into his clash with the Serbian, who has reached the second round at a major only once before this week (2015 US Open). Donskoy to win is 11/5.

The Verdict

Alexei Popyrin, meanwhile, could also exploit Dominic Thiem’s vulnerability on hard courts in their clash at around 7AM GMT.

The Australian dispatched Mischa Zverev in the previous round while Thiem was forced to a decider against the mercurial Benoit Paire.

Popyrin possesses a hard-hitting game that could rush Thiem on these quicker courts – which he loathes – and over 3.5 sets is available at 6/5.

Recommended Bets

  • 0.5pts – Pierre-Hugues Herbert to win – 13/10 (bet365)
  • 0.5pts – Evgeny Donskoy to win – 11/5 (bet365)