2019 Australian Open Day 9 Betting Preview & Tips

2019 Australian Open Day 9 Betting Preview & Tips

Tennis specialist Craig Vickers (@craigvickers_) previews day nine of the men’s Australian Open and provides us with his best bets.

  • 2019 Profit and Loss: +1.62pts

2019 Australian Open Day 9 Betting Preview & Tips

  • Date: 22 January
  • Time: 01:30
  • Venue: Melbourne Park, City of Melbourne, Australia
  • Channel: Eurosport UK

Tuesday marks day nine at the 2019 Australian Open as we move into the quarter-final stage with two intriguing clashes in the bottom half.

We waited until day eight to score our first winning double of the tournament and then two came along at once, with successive profitable days.

Milos Raonic provided us with a winner at evens when he dispatched Alexander Zverev with relative comfort, dropping only two games before edging the third set tie-break to seal his place in the quarter-final with something left to spare.

Daniil Medvedev then stole the second set against Novak Djokovic in his four-set loss to the world number one, which gave us a nice 5/4 winner to conclude the day.

The bottom half of the draw is first up in the quarter-final stages, with Stefanos Tsitsipas seeking to build on his glorious win over Roger Federer against the tireless Roberto Bautista-Agut. Rafael Nadal then faces another fearless youngster, Frances Tiafoe, second on Rod Laver Arena’s night session.

Key Stats & Facts

And that match is where the value lies on Tuesday, with Tiafoe being assigned the most daunting of tasks with conditions typically slower at night – and especially so on Rod Laver Arena.

The American was fearless in his defeat of Grigor Dimitrov in the fourth round – although he won five fewer points than the Bulgarian – but he also benefitted from the quicker conditions afforded to him in the peak of the afternoon.

Nadal is already accustomed to evening conditions on the tournament’s main arena and his destruction of Alex De Minaur – a Next Gen star like Tiafoe – in the third round will serve as a warning for the 21-year-old.

Few expected the Spaniard to deconstruct Tomas Berdych in the fourth round with such simplicity as well (6-0, 6-1, 7-6(4)), and as such under 28.5 games at 11/8 in the clash looks appealing.

Nadal has only been stretched over 26 games once this week and it can be forgiven considering it was his first competitive match in 2019 (v Duckworth in round one).

Tiafoe faces a mountainous task and, like De Minaur before him, it could be equally one-sided.

In the other quarter-final, few could have predicted a showdown between Tsitsipas and Bautista-Agut at this stage before the tournament began and the bookies are struggling to separate the pair.

The Greek will be brimming with confidence after his four-set win over Federer, but those of a more cynical persuasion will note how fortunate Tsitsipas was to stave off twelve break points from the Swiss.

In addition, he broke the Federer serve just once through four sets and you have to fancy the Greek’s chances if he can force a tie-break or two, with Bautista-Agut having lost all four of his this tournament.

What is striking about the 20-year-old is his calmness under pressure and that has been evident throughout the previous twelve months. His run to the final in Toronto was characterised by that feature, as well his triumph on the unorthodox scoring system at the Next Gen Finals.

Bautista-Agut does tend to perform better in return games than Tsitsipas and he won’t be overly fatigued in comparison to the Greek considering their respective fourth round matches ran for a similar time.

Tsitsipas to win is 10/11 and it could be worth a small stake.

Recommended Bets

  • 0.5pts – Stefanos Tsitsipas to win – 1/1 (William Hill)
  • 0.5pts – Rafael Nadal v Frances Tiafoe under 28.5 games – 11/8 (bet365)