2019 Australian Open Men's Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
Tennis specialist Craig Vickers (@craigvickers_) previews the men’s Australian Open and provides us with his best bets for the first Grand Slam of the year.
2019 Australian Open Men’s Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 14-27 January
- Venue: Melbourne Park, City of Melbourne, Australia
- Channel: Eurosport UK
Monday marks the start of the first Grand Slam of the season as the players will battle the sweltering Australian heat for a fortnight with their eyes on claiming the 2019 Australian Open title.
Roger Federer has triumphed on his last two visits to Melbourne Park and will be aiming to make history by becoming the first male player to win seven Australian Open titles – as well as his 100th career title.
He will be closely tracked, however, by top seed Novak Djokovic, who has shaken off the ills which plagued his game for so long in 2017 to restore himself as the dominant force in the men’s game. The Serb will be eager to get his paws on his third successive Grand Slam and, like Federer, win a record-breaking seventh title Down Under.
Seeded second is 2009 champion Rafael Nadal, who will be desperate to rid himself of the memories of previous trips to Melbourne. The Spaniard retired in the deciding set of his quarter-final with Marin Cilic last time around and his last tournament involvement was back in September at the US Open.
ATP Finals champion Alexander Zverev will also harbour ambitions of winning his maiden Grand Slam, but he too has injury doubts surrounding him. Brisbane International champion Kei Nishikori is brimming with confidence, so too Grand Slam veteran Kevin Anderson.
Meanwhile, Daniil Medvedev, Stefanos Tsitsipas and Alex de Minaur comprise a threatening young pack.
Betting Odds (bet365)
- Novak Djokovic – 6/5
- Roger Federer – 9/2
- Rafael Nadal – 8/1
- Alexander Zverev – 11/1
- Marin Cilic – 25/1
- Kei Nishikori – 25/1
- Karen Khachanov – 25/1
Djokovic’s defeat to Roberto Bautista-Agut in Doha earlier this month – coupled with losses to Khachanov and Zverev in the concluding two finals of 2018 – has removed a thin layer of invincibility from the Serb, but his past record in Melbourne when fit suggests he’s the man to beat.
Federer, too, is recharged after a shaky conclusion to last season and 9/2 is good value on the man who has not lost to anyone not named Novak Djokovic in Melbourne in five years.
But there is very little value on the outrights and instead there is value in the ‘To Win Quarter’ market, especially considering the runs enjoyed by Hyeon Chung and Kyle Edmund twelve months ago.
One particularly open quarter will be Zverev’s, who, along with his battle with an apparent hamstring problem, has reached only one Grand Slam quarter-final in his career. Poised to capitalise could be 2014 champion Stan Wawrinka, who showed signs of his old self in Doha.
However, the 22-year-old Croat Borna Coric represents good value at 13/2 considering he reached the final of the Shanghai Masters last autumn in similarly fast conditions to Melbourne. Coric’s often suspect forehand packs better punch on the quicker courts and he arrives to the first major of the year free of any injury worries having yet to play a match.
That could prove to his detriment, but the burgeoning 22-year-old says he is ready: “I have arrived very, very early so that I have plenty of time to prepare, to get used to the weather and the time zone.”
In the bottom quarter, meanwhile, opportunities could open up if the Melbourne bug comes back to bite Nadal once again.
The Spaniard has already withdrawn from the Brisbane International this year and his hard court woes are well-documented – he has withdrawn or retired from 12 of his last 13 events on the surface.
Kevin Anderson, then, is well-suited to make a deep run having proved his Grand Slam prowess in the last two years, with odds of 4/1 on the big-server to win the quarter headed by Nadal.
The South African reached the final of the US Open in 2017, as well Wimbledon last year, and, like Marin Cilic last year, he could benefit from Nadal’s wretched injury luck in a potential quarter-final showdown. Grigor Dimitrov, who reserves his best form for the Australian Open, poses a threat alongside the resurgent Tomas Berdych in the bottom quarter.