2019 BNP Paribas Open Day 6 Betting Preview & Tips

Tennis specialist Craig Vickers (@craigvickers_) previews day six of the men’s BNP Paribas Open and provides us with his best bets for the first Masters 1000 tournament of the year.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +6.07pts

2019 BNP Paribas Open Day 6 Betting Preview & Tips

  • Date: 12 March 2019
  • Venue: Indian Wells Tennis Garden, California, United States
  • Channel: Amazon Prime Video/Tennis TV

Tuesday marks day six at the BNP Paribas Open with temperatures set to be lower than average at this time of the year, but with sun to replace the cloud which dominated yesterday’s proceedings.

And we made amends for our winless day on Sunday with two big winners yesterday, as Jan-Lennard Struff defeated a flat Alexander Zverev and Dominic Thiem ousted Gilles Simon in a terrific straight sets performance.

In truth, the only regret about the former bet is not taking Struff to cover a big handicap because when Zverev loses he tends to surrender meekly – as he did here, 6-3, 6-1 – but 4/1 is certainly our biggest winner yet this year.

Thiem, meanwhile, produced his best performance of the year against the Frenchman, only briefly wobbling at the end of the first set in a 6-3, 6-1 triumph, and he faces the big-serving Ivo Karlovic in the fourth round.

Our quarter outright Milos Raonic survived an almighty scare against the qualifier Marcos Giron, recovering from a set down and a break in the decider to prolong his stay in the tournament. He will also be buoyed by the exit of Laslo Djere as the seeds continue to fall in his section.

The Verdict

Moving on, however, and the bottom half of the draw concludes the third round of action with particular value present in Hubert Hurkacz’s clash with Kei Nishikori on Stadium 2 at around 6PM GMT.

The former upset an under-par Nishikori in Dubai just over two weeks ago on outdoor hard and a repeat of that result isn’t so far-fetched considering the Japanese’s level against Adrian Mannarino in the previous round.

Nishikori eventually prevailed in a third set tie-break – 6-4, 4-6, 7-6(4) – but he was twice a break down in the deciding set and he was grateful Mannarino lost his nerve at a crucial juncture in the contest.

The same could not be said of Hurkacz who capitalised on a dismal day at the office from Nishikori in Dubai. The Japanese served for the first set at 5-4 that afternoon before dropping three straight games, had a double break advantage reeled back in set two before prevailing 7-5, and the third set he imploded without creating a single break point.

It appears the Japanese is running short on Get Out of Jail Free cards and his performances generally this year have flattered to deceive, with an asterisk beside his quarter-final showing at the Australian Open considering the frequency to which he diced with danger.

Hurkacz has improved innumerably in the last twelve months and he enjoys slow outdoor hard surfaces such as this with his excellent retrieving skills, hence backing the Pole to win at 12/5 could prove fruitful.

Elsewhere, Andrey Rublev is mightily fortunate to be alive and kicking in Indian Wells after losing in the final round of qualifying at the weekend.

However, he put his lucky loser status to good use in his win over Robin Haase in the second round, although he continued his habit of being chronically unable to consistently hold serve.

His opponent, fellow Russian Karen Khachanov, is suffering from a crisis of confidence himself, but he ended his win over Feliciano Lopez strongly in round two and backing the Paris Masters champion to win a break-orientated match is certainly worth a flutter at 2/1.

Recommended Bets

  • 0.5pts – Hubert Hurkacz to win – 12/5 (BetVictor)
  • 0.6pts – Karen Khachanov to win and over 22.5 games – 2/1 (Bet365)