2019 BNP Paribas Open Day 9 Betting Preview & Tips

2019 BNP Paribas Open Day 9 Betting Preview & Tips

Tennis specialist Craig Vickers (@craigvickers_) previews day nine of the men’s BNP Paribas Open and provides us with his best bets for the first Masters 1000 tournament of the year.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +7.47pts

2019 BNP Paribas Open Day 9 Betting Preview & Tips

  • Date: 15 March 2019
  • Venue: Indian Wells Tennis Garden, California, United States
  • Channel: Amazon Prime Video/Tennis TV

Friday marks day nine at the BNP Paribas Open as the bottom half conclude quarter-final action.

Our only pick yesterday was voided when Gael Monfils withdrew from his clash with Dominic Thiem shortly before the match.

The Austrian moves into the semi-finals where he will face Milos Raonic, who landed our 4/1 quarter outright with his 6-3 6-4 triumph over the lucky loser Miomir Kecmanovic.

Raonic has hardly been stretched in his four matches to get this far – with Jan-Lennard Struff being his highest ranked opponent at world number 55 – but he has a golden opportunity to reach his first Masters 1000 final since his meeting with Novak Djokovic here in 2016.

The Verdict

Moving on, however, and the remaining two matches feature the two biggest favourites after the departure of Djokovic, Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal.

Both open as 1/6 and 1/14 favourites respectively, but Nadal’s clash with Karen Khachanov at around 8:30PM GMT contains some value.

If the Russian isn’t completely back to his best – he won the Paris Masters at the end of last year – then he is rekindling some of his better traits after opting to return to his old Wilson racket before the start of this event.

Khachanov previously switched to a Head racket when his contract with Wilson expired and his dismal 2-5 record before this week at tour-level events seemingly prompted a rethink.

His level has grown steadily in Indian Wells and he done well to tame the big-serving power of John Isner – our other quarter outright – in the round of 16 on Wednesday. At the very least he seems more assured of his ability to construct rallies.

What’s more, he ran the Spaniard close in their two meetings on outdoor hard last summer at the Rogers Cup and the US Open.

However, Nadal is a different proposition on these slower surfaces and he was ostensibly troubled by a knee injury in Flushing Meadows when the two clashed.

The world number two has coasted through this week but Khachanov certainly boasts enough power to avoid being streamrolled, hence we’ll back him to cover the +4.5 games handicap at 10/11.

Meanwhile, Roger Federer looks in similarly commanding form and he halted Kyle Edmund’s seven-match winning run with a supreme display in the previous round.

He faces the rising Pole Hubert Hurkacz – who we profited from earlier this week – and it seems unlikely the 22-year-old can spring an upset.

On a day with two heavy favourites in-play we’ll exercise caution ahead of this weekend.

Recommended Bets

  • 0.4pts – Karen Khachanov +4.5 games – 10/11 (Bet365)