2019 French Open Men’s Final Betting Preview & Tips

2019 French Open Men's Final Betting Preview & Tips

Tennis specialist Craig Vickers (@craigvickers_) previews men’s singles finals day at French Open and provides us with his best bets for the second Grand Slam of the year.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +13.8pts

2019 French Open Men's Final Betting Preview & Tips

  • Date: 26 May-9 June
  • Venue: Stade Roland Garros, Paris, France
  • Channel: Eurosport UK

Sunday marks day fifteen at the 2019 French Open as Dominic Thiem and Rafael Nadal will contest the men’s singles final for the second year in succession.

The semi-final stages are notoriously difficult when value seeking and we struck out swinging in our two bets on Friday.

The wind dictated the quality of the opening set in Nadal’s clash with Roger Federer, with the Spaniard grabbing the set by the horns at 3-2 to end any hopes for our over 10.5 games in set one bet.

Surprising, however, was Novak Djokovic’s exit to Thiem in a match that was held overnight due to forecasted storms. Play resumed yesterday and the Serbian never looked comfortable against last year’s finalist and he eventually bowed out in five sets.

The Verdict

And as a result we have a repeat of last year’s final, with Thiem seeking to avenge a loss where the outcome looked inevitable after a disappointing opening set.

Nadal’s record at Roland Garros is well-documented – he has lost only twice in his career in the French capital – and it would take a performance of epic proportions for the Austrian to cause the biggest of upsets.

The Spaniard is undefeated in his eleven previous finals at the French Open, too, and he looks in fine fettle after running away the match midway through the second set against Federer on Friday.

Thiem does boast victories over Nadal on his favourite surface in each of the last three years, but as last year’s straight sets final defeat highlighted, beating the Spaniard over best of five in Paris is a far more difficult equation.

It will be curious to see the extent to which the Austrian is still affected by events twelve months ago, although his success at Indian Wells earlier this year – he saved match points to defeat Federer in the final – suggests he is more mature player this season.

He is at a disadvantage in regards to rest, with Nadal enjoying Saturday off while Thiem was slugging it out with Djokovic over two days and deep into a deciding set yesterday.

The Serbian has achieved the remarkable by beating Nadal at the French Open and Nadal would have been forgiven to breathing a sigh of relief when the Serbian was ousted, but he is well aware of Thiem’s threat.

The Spaniard played at a relatively high level against the Austrian in the semi-finals of the Barcelona Open last month and he was outsmarted on conditions similar to Roland Garros.

It poses the question of how close Thiem can get to Nadal, having been at the receiving end of a drubbing twelve months ago and whether that experience has sobered him against the King of Clay.

Nadal hasn’t dropped a set in his previous two finals at the French Open, but he has been forced to four sets twice by Djokovic (2012 and 2014) which shows that the wall can be breached.

Nadal matches up well against Thiem, however, with his ability to get the ball high onto the Austrian’s backhand ultimately affording him a more aggressive court position and history suggests Nadal will retain his crown.

The Spaniard to win 3-1 is worth a shot at 11/4.

Recommended Bets

  • 0.7pts – Rafael Nadal to win 3-1 – 11/4 (bet365)
  • 1.5pts – No Tie-Break in Match – Evens (bet365)