2019 Six Nations Round 1 Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
Rugby fanatic Marcello Cossali-Francis (@marcello95cf) runs us through the first round of Six Nations fixtures and provides us with his best bets.
Six Nations Round 1 Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
So hopefully you’ve read my outright betting preview and have sorted out all of your outright bets ahead of kick-off on Friday evening between France and Wales in the opening game of the tournament.
Now the teams have been announced, we can look ahead to each of the three fixtures this weekend and try and find some winning angles in round 1.
France v Wales – Friday 20:00, Paris
France starting backs (15 – 9) Medard, Penaud, Fofana, Ntamack, Huget, Lopez, Parra.
France starting forwards (1 – 8) Poirot, Guirado, Atonio, Vahaamahina, Willemse, Lauret, Itturia, Picamoles.
Wales starting backs (15 – 9) Williams, North, Davies, Parkes, Adams, Anscombe, Williams.
Wales starting forwards (1 – 8) Evans, Owens, Francis, Beard, Wyn Jones, Navidi, Tipuric, Moriarty.
- France – EVENS
- Draw – 25/1
- Wales – 11/10
So the opening game of this year’s tournament takes place in Paris under the lights at the Stade De France, where Warren Gatland’s Wales take on Jacques Brunel’s French side.
Given that Wales are smaller odds to win the tournament than France, the bookies have made the French slight (ever so slight!) favourites at EVENS, and surprisingly, Wales at 11/10. This is probably down to the fact that France are always so unpredictable and the fact that this is the opening game, so things can often be a bit rusty.
That being said, Wales at those odds look good enough for me. Wales have beaten France in six of the last seven meetings, including two of the last three in Paris. The opening fixture, as I have said, if often quite cagey and in the last seven matches between France and Wales, under 35.5 points has resulted in six of them, so at odds of 20/21 I am also looking at that as a good bet here.
Scotland v Italy – Saturday 14:15, Edinburgh
Scotland starting backs (15 – 9) Hogg, Seymour, Jones, Johnson, Kinghorn, Russell, Laidlaw.
Scotland starting forwards (1 – 8) Dell, McInally, Nel, Toolis, Gilchrist, Skinner, Ritchie, Wilson.
Italy starting backs (15 – 9) Hayward, Esposito, Morisi, Castello, Campagnaro, Allan, Tebaldi.
Italy starting forwards (1 – 8) Lovotti, Ghiraldini, Ferrari, Sisi, Budd, Negri, Steyn, Parisse.
- Scotland – 1/16
- Draw – 80/1
- Italy – 18/1
Scotland have much been talked about in the last couple of years as finally starting to compete with the best in world rugby and seemed to have began to become dark horses in the Six Nations. Having said that, their away form in this competition is poor and that is what is holding them back from being real contenders. However, they start this campaign with the easiest possible game, against the Italians. Italy have won just two away games since their inauguration into the tournament in 2000, both coming in Scotland. They are progressing as a nation but are still quite a way off the other five teams.
The bookies have given the Italians a 24-point handicap margin of victory here at EVENS and that does appeal given it is the first game and the Italians will be bang up for this, as it is probably their best chance of a victory. Scotland will have the pressure on them as they must get off to a good start to the championship, so that could also affect them early on. The odds on the second half having the most points is what I am going to go with here, as it is at a decent 5/6 price. Scotland might struggle to start with in the opening period but once the Italians tire, they should be able to pull clear.
Ireland v England – Saturday 16:45, Dublin
Ireland starting backs (15 – 9) Henshaw, Earls, Ringrose, Aki, Stockdale, Sexton, Murray.
Ireland starting forwards (1 – 8) Healy, Best, Furlong, Toner, James Ryan, O'Mahony, Van der Flier, Stander.
England starting backs (15 – 9) Daly; May, Slade, Tuilagi, Nowell; Farrell, B Youngs;
England starting forwards (1 – 8) M Vunipola, George, Sinckler, Itoje, Kruis, Wilson, T Curry, B Vunipola.
- Ireland – 1/3
- Draw – 25/1
- England – 10/3
Now then, definitely tie of the round. Ireland are strong favourites to win the whole thing and are arguably the best side in world rugby at this moment in time. However, England, with some returning big name players, are fancied as the side best equipped to topple the defending champions in Ireland.
Ireland have won the last two matches and England have not won out in Dublin since 2013. Ireland have lost just one game at home in the last 19 test matches, which runs from 2015 until now. They have beaten the likes of New Zealand, Australia, South Africa and all of the other Six Nations sides at home in that period. The task is huge for England but having Ireland first up is better than having them after they have a few games under their belt.
These two teams possess two of the most potent try scorers in test rugby at the minute, in David Stockdale of Ireland and Jonny May of England. May is joint top-scorer in the Gallagher Premiership with 9 tries and has also scored 18 tries in 40 England tests, including four tries in last seasons Six Nations. Stockdale’s numbers are even more impressive. He has scored seven tries in his 14 International caps so far for Ireland and has 22 tries for Ulster in 46 appearances for the club. He was the top scorer in last year’s tournament, breaking the record of tries scored in a championship, with 7. So I this one, I am going to be suggesting getting on one of either of those two.