Ajax v Real Madrid Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 13/02/19
Anthony Olsson (@Ant_olsson93) previews Ajax v Real Madrid and provides us with his best bets for Tuesday’s Champions League clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
Ajax v Real Madrid Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 13/02/19
- Time: 19:45
- Venue: Johan Cruyff Arena
- Channel: BT Sport 3
Ajax Host Real Madrid on Wednesday night in the first leg of last 16 knockout round looking to make the most of their home advantage. The hosts are unbeaten on home soil since November 2017 and they have only lost 1 of their last 21 European home games.
Ajax were impressive during the Group stages of the competition and they finished just 2 points behind German heavyweights, Bayern Munich. The de Godenzonen (Sons of the Gods) were 1 of 5 teams who finished the Group stages unbeaten and you would imagine they’d be full of confidence coming into a game against reigning champions. However Ajax have had a tricky winter with some heavy losses including a 6-2 defeat at the hands of Feyenoord.
It could be a tough evening for Ajax as they face an inform Real Madrid side who are currently on a 7 game unbeaten. Los Blancos boss, Santiago Solari, seems to have turned his team’s fortunes around and he oversaw an impressive 3-1 victory away from home over arch rivals, Altetico Madrid. Madrid have found the net 20 times during this unbeaten run and although they’re not solid at the back, they seem to have found enough going forward to get the wins they need.
Goalkeeper Bruno Varela, Defender Lisandro Magallan, and Midfielder Carel Eiting are all expected to miss out for Ajax.
Real Madrid have doubts over Isco and Marcos Llorente.
Potential Ajax Starting XI: Onana, Kristensen, de Ligt, Blind, Tagliafico, Schone, Van de Beek, de Jong, Ziyech, Dolbgerg. Tadic
Potential Real Madrid Starting XI: Courtois, Carvajal, Varane, Ramos, Marcelo, Modric, Casemiro, Kroos, Lucas, Benzema, Junior Vinicius
Head To Head
- Ajax have lost their last 6 games in European competition against Real Madrid.
- There has only ever been one draw between the two sides which came back in the 1967/68 which came in their first ever competitive encounter.
Key Stats & Facts
- It’s been 22 years since Ajax progressed through a Champions League Knockout round.
- Real Madrid have won this competition 4 times in the last 5 seasons
- Ajax 31/10
- Draw 33/10
- Real Madrid 10/11
Both of these sides have been impressive this season in the Champions League however Ajax are coming into this game in some patchy form having lost their last 2 away games. Madrid on the other hand will ride into the Johan Cruyff Arena full of confidence having just beaten their arch rivals Atletico.
Los Blancos have been boosted by the return of Gareth Bale who found the net last time out. Bale has 3 goals in 5 Champions league games this season and he is 13/8 to score at any time in the match. I think this is a good angle into the game as Bale is very clinical in front of goal and this game could end up stretched with Ajax needing a positive result to take into the second leg. There could be plenty of space for Bale to exploit on the break.
Goals in this came should hopefully not be hard to find as both sides are very capable of finding the net. The two defences aren’t exactly solid with Ajax conceding 12 goals in their last 5 games and Real Madrid have conceded 5 goals in their last 5 games. Both sides to score in this one is odds on at 11/21 (Unibet) which doesn’t give much value to us as punters. I think siding with Real Madrid to win and Both Teams to Score at 9/4 (Betfair) is the way to go. This bet would have landed in 4 out of Real Madrid’s last 7 away games in all competitions.
My overall opinion is that Madrid will have just that bit too much quality for the home side who I expect will put in a good performance themselves. In my eyes I can’t see Ajax sitting back and frustrating the champions for 90 minutes and you would assume Ajax will need to take a lead into the second leg but trying to get one could leave them open on the counter attack.