Belgium v England 3rd Place Play-off Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Belgium v England World Cup Final Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Benjamin Swain (@Swaaainn) previews Belgium v England and provides us with his best bets for this World Cup Third v Fourth playoff, by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

Belgium v England Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 14/07/2018
  • Time: 3pm
  • Venue: St Petersburg Stadium
  • Channel: ITV 1

The importance of the third and fourth play off has come under scrutiny since it was confirmed the tie would involve England repeating their Group G clash against Belgium, supporting my pick of under 2.5 goals for the match.

The initial fixture was won 1-0 by Belgium, in another fixture with little at stake as both sides had already qualified for the knockout stages. For complete de-ja-vu, it is likely both managers will ring the changes for this final world cup match for both sides, which appeared to unsettle the rhythm of both sides last time round and the price for a repeat of such a low scoring game of under 1.5 goals is best priced at 21/5.

Many English fans’ traditions have ended after the Three Lions’ defeat to Croatia but the fact of the matter was England were beaten by the better side.

A popular tradition for England goal scorers is to net from set pieces, which they did for their only goal against Croatia, and the reason why in recent England games a popular bet has been the assist market. Trippier and Young are the common targets for this bet but with changes likely, Rashford is likely to start, having come off the bench against Croatia, and is a popular candidate for dead balls.

Belgium saw first hand England at their worst attacking performance of the tournament, managing to keep a clean-sheet against the Three Lions, against their ‘second string’ side.

England’s last three fixtures have also seen under 2.5 goals, keeping a clean-sheet against Sweden, conceding an injury time goal v Colombia and just the one against Croatia in normal time. While Belgium have been free flowing in front of goal, its unlikely the regular front three of Lukaku, Hazard and De Bruyne will feature anything close to 90 minutes in this fixture.

Team News

Both sides look to have fully fit squads available.

Gareth Southgate may look to make changes.

Potential Belgium Starting XI: Mignolet, Vermaelen, Boyata, Dendoncker, T. Hazard, Dembele, Tielemens, Chadli, Januzaj, Fellaini, Batshuayi

Potential England Starting XI: Butland, Alexander-Arnold, Jones, Stones, Cahill, Rose, Loftus-Cheek, Dier, Delph, Vardy, Rashford

Head To Head

  • These two sides have met 7 times.
  • England have won on 3 occasions while Belgium have won twice.
  • Belgium, however, won the Group fixture between these two sides earlier in the tournament 1-0.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Harry Kane is currently in the lead in the race for the Golden Boot, with 6 goals.
  • Belgium won the earlier Group G fixture between these two sides 1-0, albeit in a match where there were
  • 17 changes were made in total in the previous fixture involving these two sides when again little was at stake.

Betting Odds

  • Belgium 123/100
  • Draw 14/5
  • England 117/50

The Verdict

England especially have struggled in front of goal, despite their 6-1 hammering of Panama, of course. While Belgium have fared reasonably better, I expect a repeat performance from the players, and managers, of the earlier low scoring Group G fixture between these two sides, with plenty of changes of personnel, disrupting rhythm.

Recommended Bets

  • Under 2.5 goals 71/50 @ Marathon Bet
  • 0-0 Half time correct score 67/25 @ Marathon Bet
  • Either side to win on penalties 7/1 @ SkyBet