Brazil v Mexico Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 2nd July

Brazil v Mexico Betting Preview, Odds & Tips 2nd July

Alex Boardman (@A_Boardman) previews Brazil v Mexico and provides us with his best bets for the Round of 16 by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

Brazil v Mexico Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 02/01/18
  • Time: 15:00
  • Venue: Samara Arena
  • Channel: BBC One

Mexico will be kicking themselves after not qualifying top of their group after a solid start to the World Cup, and now face a dangerous Brazilian side who still don’t look like they’ve hit peak form yet. Had Mexico beaten Sweden on the final game they would have found themselves on the easier side of the bracket, along with England, Switzerland and Colombia. Now the odds really are stacked against them, and their chance of a good World Cup run looks to be at an end.

Brazil topped their group quite comfortably in the end, and that may be worrying to some as they haven’t been at their best just yet. For all the stand out names in the squad its Barcelona’s Paulinho who has really stepped up so far Brazil, and has showed exactly why Barca bought him last summer. Still, they have a tough route to the final, where they will likely encounter the likes of Belgium, France and Uruguay along the way, and it’s those games where the Neymar’s and Coutinho’s need to take over. One surprise throughout this tournament is Roberto Firmino’s lack of game time, especially considering the season he has just had at Liverpool, so it will be interesting too see if he features at any point during the latter stages of the tournament.

Team News

  • Brazil are sweating on the fitness of both Marcelo and Danilo.
  • Mexico are without Hector Moreno who is out through suspension.

Potential Brazil Starting XI: Allisson; Fagner, Silva, Miranda, Luis; Paulinho, Casemiro, Coutinho; Willian, Jesus, Neymar

Potential Mexico Starting XI: Ochoa; Alvarez, Salcedo, Ayala, Gallardo; Herrera, Guardado; Layun, Vela, Lonzano; Chicharito

Head To Head

  • Brazil have won 23 of the 40 clashes between the two sides, but the last World Cup meeting between the two sides ended in a draw.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Brazil have kept 10 clean sheets in their last 13 World Cup matches.
  • Mexico have failed to score in their last 3 appearances against Brazil.
  • Brazil have scored at least 2 goals in 15 of their last 18 World Cup matches.

Betting Odds

  • Brazil 1/2
  • Draw 16/5
  • Mexico 7/1

The Verdict

It would be hard to look past a Brazil win here, especially with the talent at their disposal, but it won’t be easy. I think Mexico will be tough to break down at first but once the first goal comes there should be a few to follow.

Recommended Bets

  • Over 2.5 goals 9/10
  • Neymar 2 or more goals 4/1