Cardiff v Brighton Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 10/11/18

Cardiff v Brighton Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Tom Love (@TomLove_18) previews Cardiff v Brighton and provides us with his best bets for Saturday's televised clash by analysing team news, potential line ups, head to head, key stats, facts and more.

Cardiff v Brighton Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 10/11/18
  • Time: 12:30pm
  • Venue: Cardiff City Stadium
  • Channel: SkySports MainEvent

One of the least appetising games of the premier league coupon is the early kick off between these two.

Cardiff have won just the once this season at home against a very poor and out of form Fulham side, so do they warrant favouritism as they host a Brighton side who've won upon 4 occasions so far this term?

Maybe they do, purely from viewing Brighton's wretched away form. The Seagulls have failed to win in 18 of their last 19 away games, their solitary win coming at St James Park against lowly Newcastle. They rarely put teams away too, most of their wins come by just the single goal.

No doubt both sides will see this as a winnable game but it has the look of one where they'll cancel each other out. I'd expect many punters will be looking at a low-scoring stalemate and I'm party to that way of thinking.

Team News

Nathaniel Mendez-Laing, Kenneth Zohore, Joe Ralls, Lee Peltier, Jazz Richards and Harry Arter will not featured here for the hosts.

Brighton have doubts over the fitness of Pascal Groß, Alireza Jahanbaskh and Davy Propper.

Potential Cardiff Starting XI: Etheridge, Manga, Morrison, Bamba, Bennett, Camarasa, Gunarsson, Paterson, Murphy, Reid, Ward.

Potential Brighton Starting XI: Ryan, Bong, Dunk, Duffy, Bruno, Knokaert, Kayal, Stephens, March, Izquierdo, Murray.

Key Stats & Fatcs

  • Cardiff have seen under 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 games at home to Brighton.
  • Brighton have won 1 of their last 19 away games.
  • They're unbeaten against Cardiff in 11 of their last 12 games against the Bluebirds.

Betting Odds

  • Cardiff – 8/5
  • Draw – 11/5
  • Brighton – 85/40

The Verdict

With a tight and tense game expected, under 2.5 looks a sensible play but it's too short to get involved with. Instead I'm happy to plump for the draw at 11/5, it's the biggest price of the 3 and makes the most appeal in my eyes.

I'm also happy to go smaller stakes on ‘No Goalscorer' which is 7/1 with Betfred. It works in the same way as backing 0-0 but the benefit of backing this is you still get paid out if the only goal(s) are own goals.

A side market that has caught my eye is in the player shots market. Jacob Murphy is 21/10 to have 2 or more shots on target and that is a nice price I think. The ex-Norwich winger has been Cardiff's chief attacking outlet and he's averaging 2.2 shots a game. He likes to cut in off the wing and get strikes away, against a defensive away side like Brighton he may have to be one of the Cardiff players to take some shots. Brighton allow the opposition plenty of shooting opportunities and the data reflects that.

Recommended Bets

  • Draw – 11/5 (Betway)
  • No Goalscorer – 7/1 (Betfred)
  • Josh Murphy to have 2+ shots on target – 21/10 (SkyBet)