Looking for value in bets is the only viable betting strategy in the long term. If you are able to detect value in the odds offered by bookies consistently by comparing them to your own odds and probabilities, you will be able to beat the bookies over the course of multiple bets. In this article, we […]
As a punter, you are always looking for a way to predict the outcome of a match. In general, a statistical approach will make the most sense. While calculating averages is very important, averages are influenced greatly by outliers (i.e. extreme scores, such as 7 – 0 in football), which are hardly representative of the […]
If you are looking for a way to beat the bookies, you can consider using rating models. Rating Models are a numerical assessment of a player or team’s strength relative to the league where they play. There are many handicapping models used by players and bookies alike in order to determine the likely outcome of […]
The Martingale strategy is a recovery staking plan from roulette that suggests you should double up after a loss. The idea is that, with a large enough bankroll, you will eventually win back your losses, since winnings from larger bets will eventually cover your losses. While this strategy could theoretically work if you had an […]
Any punter know that it is usually unwise to bet their whole bankroll or a huge portion of it on a single bet. However, how much should you bet? Managing your bankroll is the most important part of betting strategy. Betting too much can have an adverse effect on your bankroll, especially on a losing […]
There are many staking plans in circulation. Some punters believe that by using the right betting system they can win more than they lose, or at least minimize their losses. In this article we, will discuss two of the most common staking plans: the Labouchere staking in betting system and the reverse Labouchere. Both may […]
The Pareto Principle, also called the 80/20 rule applies to a wide range of fields, and betting is no exception. It essentially states that 80% of the effects come from just 20% of the causes. The principle is often used in businesses, particularly on helping them identify their strengths and improving their time management. In […]
Bookies use various formulas to set their odds. One of them is Poisson distribution in betting. They use it to calculate the frequency of any occurrence in a game. In this article, you will learn how to calculate the probability of any score in football, and how to use it to calculate who will likely […]
You’ll often hear us talk about finding the perfect bookmaker for you. However, you don’t necessarily have to only pick one. There’s no reason that you can’t sign up to as many bookmakers as you like, meaning you can get all the benefits of each. The most common reason people do this is that they […]
It can be hard to choose the best sport to bet on and win money. If you want to beat the bookies, you will have to bet wisely. This means you will need to look for value in bets. You will have to choose the right sports to bet on and make the right types of […]
When we think of fantasy football, we think of two things. There is the popular game, often organised by media outlets, that is played amongst friends maybe for fun, maybe for a small prize, and the money wagering game that is growing increasingly popular in the UK. This article aims to look at both. […]
At first playing online poker may seem daunting, it actually doesn’t need to be. It is, in many ways, a simple card game that can be learned in minutes. Winning however might take a little longer. “Poker takes five minutes to learn but a lifetime to master”, said Mike Sexton, Poker Hall of Fame member […]
When you are trying to bet professionally, it is important to hedge your losses.No punter has a 100% record of winning bets. Because of this, it is important to have a bankroll management strategy. In other words, you should have enough money left over to recuperate losses and spread your risk over multiple bets. It […]
In this article, betting expert Dave South (@LockupTipster) investigates whether identical betting markets can offer better prices and how we can use this to get more value out of our bets. Do Identical Betting Markets Carry Better Prices Than Others? There is so much to talk about in the gambling industry, especially the sportsbook. You […]
Overround is the sum total of all the odds on the outcome of a single event. Its purpose is to create a profit margin for the bookmakers that ensures they make a profit regardless of the outcome. Therefore, overround is vital to a bookmaker’s business because it prices markets overwhelmingly in their favour. This is […]
In this article, we’ll provide you with answers to the commonly asked question: how do bookies make money? This includes backing and laying, balancing the book, basic odds compilation and overround. We’ll also explain how you can use this knowledge to become a more profitable and successful bettor. How Do Bookies Make […]
In this article, we explain all you need to know about the Gambler’s Fallacy (also known as the Monte Carlo Fallacy). This will include a breakdown looking at fixed odds, probability, house edge, law of averages, random outcomes and more. The Gambler’s Fallacy Explained The Gambler’sFallacy is rooted in pure applied mathematics. It deals with […]
The under/over 2.5 goals bet is a nice and uncomplicated betting market in which you, the punter armed with strategy, are betting on there being more or less than 2.5 goals in a match. If you fancy there being more, then you are hoping for three or more goals to be scored in the game […]
In this article we discuss the important of patience within betting and look at some specific factors that you should be considering in order to improve your chances of being a successful bettor. The Importance Of Patience In Betting Patience is a virtue. A quote applicable to every aspect of life but none probably more […]
When it comes to sports betting, you can try your utmost to make the perfect bet. Ultimately though, betting is a game of chance where anything can happen. In this article we will put forward what we think are some of the most common sports betting mistakes that people make, as well as our expert […]
Of the many betting markets that appeal to, and attract punters from all over the globe, eSports-based betting markets in particular have gained quite the popularity as of late. Here are a few of the best eSports betting tips which will help you along your eSports betting journey! eSports Betting Tips and Advice When […]
When you are betting on sports, you can run into several types of odds. The most common are Fractional, Decimal, and American/Moneyline odds. While figuring out how much money you win from your bet should be easy enough, it is important to your betting strategy to know at what likelihood, in terms of percentages bookies […]
If you are to have any chance at beating the bookies over the long term, then you really must arm yourself with as much real time football stats, analysis and data from sites as possible prior to betting. Only by utilising and analysing the most up to date statistics will you achieve this successfully. It […]
