Colombia v England Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 3rd July

Colombia v England Betting Preview, Odds & Tips 3rd July

Billy Greenall (@BillyGreenall) previews Colombia  v England m and provides us with his best bets for Tuesday’s last sixteen knockout game, analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

Colombia v England Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 03/07/2018
  • Time: 19:00
  • Venue: Spartak Stadium
  • Channel: BBC One

England and Colombia go head to head in Moscow on Tuesday evening, with a place in the quarter finals of the 2018 World Cup up for contention.

As we enter the business end of the competition, the likes of Spain, Germany, Argentina and Portugal have all been eliminated from what has been a highly entertaining tournament so far. England’s 1-0 defeat to Belgium in their final group game has landed them in a seemingly easier side of the draw, with victory over Colombia and either Sweden or Switzerland the only thing standing in the way of a place in the semi finals.

Colombia present themselves as tricky opposition though, winning their final two group games to catapult themselves to the top of group H above Senegal and second placed Japan. For me, the most eye catching aspect of the Colombians game is their their ability to probe patiently around the opposition penalty area, though their speed on the break is also a threat. They’ve got a number of technically gifted players in the final third too, Quintero has already displayed his ability to unlock a defence with an intricate through ball, helped by Falcao’s clever runs off the shoulder of the last defender. Cuadrado’s pace and trickery down the right will also need attending to if England are to nullify the Colombians, although they could be helped by the expected absence of key man James Rodriguez, who went off injured against Senegal.

As for England, their first two games of this World Cup were fantastic, securing two victories and scoring eight goals in the process, albeit against weaker opposition than Colombia. Their final match against Belgium was something of a non-entity following their early qualification to the last sixteen, so now is the time for Gareth Southgate’s men to show exactly what’s in the locker when it matters. With a place in the last eight up for grabs and a proposed clearer route to the final for England, there’s no better time for the three lions to answer their critics and rid themselves of the major tournament Houdini that’s shadowed them for the last two decades. In terms of a game plan, I’m no expert, but I’d suggest containing Colombia for the first twenty minutes or so. As much as I’d love to see England take the game to Colombia and go for that early goal, this could leave them exposed on the break and as I’ve already mentioned, Colombia’s speed is frightening.

England should be patient and play the game at their own pace, keep possession and look to get the ball in behind the Colombian full backs. Set pieces have been England’s main asset of the tournament so it’s important we continue to utilise them, though the South Americans are equally threatening from these situations. Rotating the squad and giving the likes of Rashford, Vardy and Welbeck the opportunity to show what they can do was a solid choice from Southgate, but it’s expected he will revert back to the familiar faces seen in England’s opening two fixtures, after most of the second string left a lot to be desired in their performance against Belgium.

Team News

James Rodriguez is a doubt following the injury he picked up against Senegal. Carols Sanchez set to return.

Southgate is set to revert to his ‘first choice’ eleven for this one. Dele Alli should return, Stones faces a fitness test.

Colombia Potential Starting XI: Ospina, Arias, D Sanchez, Mina, Mojica, C Sanchez, Uribe, Muriel, Quintero, Cuadrado, Falcao

England Potential Starting XI: Pickford, Trippier, Walker, Stones, Maguire, Young, Henderson, Alli, Lingard, Sterling, Kane

Key Stats & Facts

  • Harry Kane is in the lead to secure the Holden boot going into the knockout stages, he has five goals.
  • Quintero has been directly involved in three of Colombia’s five goals at the tournament so far.
  • England have won just two of their last eight knockout games at the World Cup (Denmark in 2002 and Ecuador in 2006).
  • England have never lost against Colombia.

Head To Head

Colombia 0 – D 2 – England – 3

Betting Odds

  • Colombia 3/1
  • D 21/10
  • England 23/20 (Sky Bet)

The Verdict

I’m expecting a tight game and I really think it could go all the way. However, I’m going to predict that we will qualify.

Recommended Bets

  • Correct score 1-1 (90 minutes) – 11/2 (888Sport)
  • England to qualify – 8/15 (Betfair)