Colombia v Qatar Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 19/06/19

Colombia v Qatar Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

James Cormack (@jamesxyyx) previews Colombia v Qatar and provides us with his best bets for Wednesday’s Copa America clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

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Colombia v Qatar Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 19/06/19
  • Time: 23:30
  • Venue: Estádio do Morumbi (Sao Paulo).
  • Channel: Premier Sports

Colombia will be looking to build on a victory against a dysfunctional Argentina side as they take on World Cup 2022 hosts Qatar on matchday two.

Results on the first matchday has left group B well poised with two games remaining for each side. Favourites to top the group, Argentina, sit bottom with Colombia top, whilst Paraguay and Qatar occupy 2nd and 3rd after their draw.

Qatar, a guest at this year’s Copa America, have enjoyed a great start to 2019, winning the Asia Cup back in February. Along the way, they beat Saudi Arabia and South Korea, before strolling past Japan in the final, winning 3-1. Qatar’s performances highlighted that they should be able to compete in Brazil this summer as well as in 2022 when they host the 22nd edition of the World Cup, however, when they went 2-0 down to Paraguay after 56 minutes on matchday one, it seemed that success against Asian opponents had given Qatar false hope.

Nevertheless, a tidy Al Moez Ali finish and an own goal from Paraguay’s Juan Rodrigo Rojas ensured that Qatar didn’t leave the Maracana empty-handed and will provide them with a major morale-boost for Wednesday’s game.

Colombia, however, will be even stiffer opposition for this Qatar side. The single-time winners back in 2001 were able to get past Argentina after second-half goals from Club America’s Roger Martinez and Sampdoria’s Duvan Zapata, both coming off the bench to provide the goods for Carlos Queiroz’s side.

Colombia’s side is littered with stars that apply their trade in Europe’s ‘top five’ domestic leagues; Santiago Arias (Atletico), Davinson Sanchez (Spurs), Yerry Mina (Everton), Juan Cuadrado (Juventus), Jefferson Lerma (Bournemouth), James Rodriguez (Bayern/ Real) and Falcao (Monaco) are all representing Colombia in this year’s competition. The fact that Duvan Zapata, who scored 23 goals in Serie A for Atalanta last season, couldn’t make Querioz’s starting XI against Argentina shows the quality among this Colombia squad.

I really fancy Colombia’s chances to go all the way in Brazil, mainly because the squad has so much balance and depth. Two quick, strong Premier League defenders in Sanchez and Mina play as the two centre-backs, and have done for the past couple of years, the three in midfield has the attacking threat of Juan Cuadrado, who plays a similar role to Bernardo Silva for Guardiola at Man City, in Queiroz’s 4-3-3, as well as the defensive minds of Wilmar Barrios and Mateus Uribe with Jefferson Lerma, who impressed in his debut season in England, being the fourth option. Going forward they look superb, the Golden Ball winner in 2014, James Rodriguez, plays from the right whilst Falcao leads the line. Injury to Luis Muriel against Argentina means that either Duvan Zapata or Roger Martinez will play as that third forward for the rest of the tournament.

The two remaining group games for Qatar; this one and Argentina on Sunday, will be a good indicator to see where they’re at and whether they’ll be able to compete on the world stage.

Team News 

Luis Muriel will be out for two months after suffering a knee injury in his side’s 2-0 win over Argentina on matchday one. This means that Duvan Zapata, who came off the bench to score Colombia’s second on Saturday night, will likely come in to replace Muriel for Wednesday’s game.

There are no fresh injury worries for Qatar after their 2-2 draw with Paraguay on Sunday.

Potential Colombia Starting XI: Ospina, Arias, Mina, Sanchez, Tesillo, Cuadrado, Barrios, Uribe, Rodriguez, Falcao, Martinez

Potential Qatar Starting XI: Al Sheeb, Ro-Ro, Al-Rawi, Salman, Hassan, Al-Haidos, Madibo, Khoukhi, Afif, Boudiaf, Ali

Head To Head

  • This is the first competitive meeting between the two sides.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Al Moez Ali, who scored Qatar’s first against Paraguay, scored 9 in 7 in the Asia Cup earlier this year.
  • Qatar haven’t lost an international fixture since December 2017, where they were beaten 2-1 by Iraq in the Gulf Cup.
  • Qatar currently rank as the 55th best side in the world, 42 places behind Colombia in 13th.
  • In October 2017, Qatar were ranked 97th in the world.
  • Since their penalty shootout defeat to England in Russia last summer, Colombia have won 4 out of 5, conceding just one goal in the process.
  • Since their victory in this competition in 2001, Colombia’s best finish is third in 2016.
  • Falcao (31 in 78 games) and James Rodriguez (22 in 73) are Colombia’s two leading goal-scorers.
  • Hassan Al Haidos and Al Moez Ali currently sit at joint-3rd in Qatar’s all-time leading scorers with 16 goals each. They need just three more to overtake Mohamed Salem Al Enazi’s record of 18.

Betting Odds

  • Colombia 4/11
  • Draw 4/1
  • Qatar 10/1

The Verdict

Colombia are firm favourites for this game and it’s easy to see why. There is so much talent in Carlos Queiroz’s squad and I think they’ll challenge the likes of Brazil and Uruguay for being the outright winner. They are defensively very good, conceding just 3 in 4 at last year’s World Cup and have conceded just twice since, keeping clean sheets in 4 out of their 5 games post-Russia.  Therefore, one bet I like is Colombia to win with a clean sheet. They have too much going forward for Qatar to handle with the pace of Juan Cuadrado, the creativity of James Rodriguez and the ability of Duvan Zapata and Radamel Falcao in front of goal.

Another bet I like is for Wilmar Barrios to be shown a card at 13/5. The defensive-minded midfielder loves to get stuck in, averaging 4 tackles and 3.5 fouls a game in the Russian League this season. He’s also been booked 4 times in 10 games in his debut season for Zenit. At last year’s World Cup he also averaged 4 tackles in 2 starts and was also booked twice.

Recommended Bets

  • 2pts – Colombia to win to nil @ 11/10 (BetVictor)
  • 1pt – Wilmar Barrios to be shown a card @ 13/5 (Betfair)