England v New Zealand Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 10/11/18

England v South Africa Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Marcello Cossali-Francis (@marcello95cf) previews England v New Zealand and provides us with his best bets for Saturday’s first Autumn International by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

England v New Zealand Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 10/11/18
  • Time: 15:00
  • Venue: Twickenham

England face the daunting test of the best team in the world on Saturday, as they host the All Blacks at Twickenham.

New Zealand travel to England on the back of another Rugby Championship title and have won 25 of their last 30 test matches, including all but one of their games this year.

Their record against England makes for pretty bleak viewing for England fans, as they have beaten the World Champions just once in their last 14 matches. England would only ever be as big as 6/1 against this opposition and given the AB’s are at 2/11, it is clear as to how the bookies see this game going.

However, given their record against England and, in general, against anybody at the moment, it is hard to see past New Zealand. England are still without plenty of players but do welcome back Chris Ashton, who looked lively upon his return to the England team last weekend off the bench. The AB’s should have too much here, however, and you would expect them to win relatively comfortably.

England Starting 15: 15-Daly, 14-Ashton, 13-Slade, 12-Te’o, 11-May, 10-Farrell, 9-Youngs; 1-Moon, 2-Hartley, 3-Sinckler, 4-Itoje, 5-Kruis, 6-Shields, 7-Underhill, 8-Wilson

New Zealand Starting 15: 15-McKenzie, 14-Smith, 13-Goodhue, 12-SB Williams, 11-Ioane, 10-Barrett, 9-Smith; 1-Tu’inukuafe, 2-Taylor, 3-Franks, 4-Whitelock, 5-Retallick, 6-Squire, 7-Savea, 8-Read

Head To Head

  • In the professional era, England have beaten the All Blacks just three times, with New Zealand winning on 19 occasions and only ever one draw. England have one just once against NZ in 15 years.

Key Stats & Facts

  • England have won just four of their 10 test matches this year.
  • Of the last 16 test matches at Twickenham, England have lost just once, to Ireland, in this year’s Six Nations.
  • England have not lost an Autumn International since 2014, a run spanning over 9 test matches.

Betting Odds

  • England – 6/1
  • Draw – 28/1
  • New Zealand – 2/11

The Verdict

England looked solid defensively against South Africa last weekend and the 6/1 available on them for this game appeals purely because of the price, as you will not find them that big in any other game, especially at home.

However, the All Blacks are the best team in world rugby and have been for a long, long time. They would have to have an off day here and for England to play out of their skin if Eddie Jones’ side are to cause a shock.

Chris Ashton makes his first start in four years for England and New Zealand do concede tries, so I think he would be the best way to go in terms of a try-scorer. Ultimately, should be a comfortable win for the away side.

Recommended Bets

  • Chris Ashton anytime try-scorer – 2/1 (Spreadex)
  • New Zealand +13 winning margin – 5/6 (Unibet)