Germany v Sweden Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 23rd June

Germany v Sweden Betting Preview, Odds & Tips 23rd June

Alex Jones (@AleexJ0nes) previews Germany v Swede in Group F and provides us with his best bets by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

Germany v Sweden Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 23/06/18
  • Time: 19:00
  • Venue: Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi
  • Channel: ITV

And so the reigning champions have it all to do in Group F. After the shocking and jarring defeat to Mexico in their group openner, the Germans will be fearing for the worst kinds of humiliation and embarrassment if they fail to reach the knockout stages. Surely, a win against Sweden here is pretty much compulsory in order to get their tournament back on the track. They are not the only one of the ‘big boys’ to slip up in their first games, with teams such as Brazil and Argentina all underperforming. Their record against Sweden isn’t the most convincing however in recent years have scored numerous goals against them. They have won 5 of the last 7 and have scored 3 or more in 4 of these wins. That is a pretty convincing statistic. Yet the Swedes will be obstinate and stubborn here and after a first day victory over South Korea, will fancy replicating Mexico’s impressive and encouraging display in defeating the Champions.

Sweden often see very tight games. 9 of their last 10 games in all competitions have seen 2 goals or less scored, with the Swede’s only winning 3 of these. They are for sure tight at the back but quite obviously lack an attacking intent, especially since the prolonged retirement of Zlatan Ibrahimovic. They have kept 8 clean sheets in their last 12 games however if they are to make this 9 in their last 13 they are going to have to stop the firepower of Werner, Muller, Ozil and Kroos who all seemed to disappear against Mexico, often mirages throughout games in which they usually enlighten with their talent for the parent clubs. Sweden on the other hand are solid and organised, and will certainly set up a barricade to try and prevent Germany scoring and hit them on the counter-attack.

The recent history between the two sides provides good reason to be backing the goals markets here, with their being 90 goals in just 22 games, averaging 4 goals each game.  In the 5 games these two have met in competitive fixtures, 4 of them have seen BTTS with over 2.5 goals. This is priced at 8/5 which represents great value especially with the outrights being hard to back after Germany’s shocking performance last week.

Team News

Potential Germany Starting XI: Neuer, Kimmich, Boateng, Hummels, Hector, Kroos, Khedira, Müller, Özil, Reus, Werner

Potential Sweden Starting XI: Olsen, Lustig, Lindelöf, Granqvist, Augustinsson, Claesson, Larsson, Ekdal, Forsberg, Toivonen, Berg

Head To Head

  • There has been 90 goals in 22 games in this fixture.
  • Germany have won 10, Sweden 8 with 4 draws.
  • 11 of the last 13 have seen over 2.5 goals.
  • Sweden haven’t beaten Germany since 1942.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Germany have lost 3 of their last 4, a stark contrast to their previous form where they didn’t lose in 22 games.
  • BTTS – No in 10 of Sweden’s last 12.

Betting Odds

  • Germany 4/9
  • Draw 15/4
  • Sweden 15/2

The Verdict

You would expect Germany to perform here and put their opener against Mexico firmly behind them. The goals market looks promising here as the recent history provides reason to believe in a goal fest, although Sweden’s recent games prove they love a clean sheet.

Recommended Bets

  • BTTS Over 2.5 goals – 8/5
  • Germany win BTTS – 5/2
  • Werner anytime – 5/4