Iran v Spain Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 20th June

  • 19th June 2018
Iran v Spain Betting Preview, Odds & Tips 20th June

Marcello Cossali-Francis (@marchCF96) previews Iran v Spain and provides us with his best bets for Wednesday evening’s World Cup Group B clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

Iran vs Spain Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 06.18
  • Time: 19:00
  • Venue: Kazan Arena
  • Channel: ITV 1

Spain look to move on from conceding that late equaliser against Portugal in their opening game when they face Group B leaders, Iran.

Iran were handed a 1-0 victory late on in their opener against Morocco, with the unfortunate own-goal, and were good value for their win after a solid defensive performance.

Spain showed moments of pure class in that 3-3 draw with Portugal but were un-done by defensive and goal-keeper errors and a world class free-kick from Ronaldo. They showed great character to battle back from 2 down to lead 3-2 with just minutes to go before Ronaldo stepped up and were the better side overall in a game full of quality.

Iran’s opening victory means that they come into this game with the pressure off slightly and can sit deep and hope to hold the Spanish side out. Spain played some beautiful football at times during the Portugal game, especially the start of the second-half. Diego Costa caused the Portuguese defence problems all day long and the two Iranian centre-halves will have a real challenge to keep him out.

Spain are massive favourites and you would find it difficult to find a way of opposing Spain here. Costa is best priced at 20/21 to find the net anytime against Iran and that looks great value given how well he played against Portugal and the fact he has eight goals in his last eight games for Spain.

Spain have won all 10 of their games against Asian opposition since 2005 and they have actually won 18 of their last 19 competitive games against sides ranked outside the top 20 FIFA world rankings. 16 of those 18 games have seen Spain win to nil and against an Iranian side who offer little going forward, Spain to win to nil is certainly a way to go.

The card market here is also one to have a look at, with the two centre-halves against Costa likely to cause some friction given Costa’s record. Once that market has been priced up, make sure to look at the prices for any of the Iranian back-line.

Team News

Spain’s head coach, Fernando Hierro, is not expected to make many alterations to the side that drew their opener against Portugal. Thiago and Koke could rotate but otherwise no changes here.

Carlos Quieroz will have to do without first-choice centre-half, Rouzbeh Cheshmi, who has been ruled out for the tournament after a training injury. Otherwise, he is likely to name an un-changed side from the one that beat Morocco in stoppage time in their first game.

Potential Iran Starting XI: Beiranvand; Rezaeian, Cheshmi, Pouraliganji, Safi; Ebrahimi; Jahanbakhsh, Shojaei, Amiri, Ansarifard; Azmoun

Potential Spain Starting XI: De Gea; Nacho, Pique, Ramos, Alba; Koke, Busquets, Iniesta; Isco, Costa, Silva

Head-To-Head

  • This will be the first time these two sides have ever met.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Iran have kept a clean sheet in 13 of their last 14 matches at FIFA World Cups.
  • There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 11 of Iran’s last 12 games at World Cups.
  • Spain have scored at least two goals in 8 of their last 9 matches at World Cups.

Betting Odds

  • Iran – 20/1
  • Draw – 63/10
  • Spain – 23/100

The Verdict

Spain know they cannot afford to slip-up here so expect them to come out of the blocks from the off against this Iranian side, who will no doubt sit deep and try to keep them out for as long as possible. Spain will want to start well and with the likes of Isco, Costa, Silva, they should be able to break them down, at which point, Spain should comfortably get their first win of the tournament. Costa is the man in form, so he is who I will be basing my bets around.

Recommended Bets

  • Costa to score anytime – 20/21 (Bet365)
  • Spain to win to nil – 4/6 (BetVictor)