Liverpool v Roma Betting Preview | 24th April
In our Liverpool v Roma betting preview, we look at team news, potential line-ups, stats and facts, popular bets and more for the Tuesday night Champions League semi-final.
Liverpool v Roma Betting Preview
Channel: BT Sport 1
This is the biggest game of the season so far for these two clubs, both have arguably overachieved in the competition but both have done expertly well so far.
Jurgen Klopp was fuming at his teams late collapse at bottom club West Brom on Saturday, he would’ve thought that the defensive lapses in concentration had been eradicated since the January arrival of the talented Virgil Van Dijk. Ultimately though, full focus would’ve been on this clash and rightly so, Liverpool will be eager to recreate the atmosphere and performance that fans and players alike that was produced in the quarter final against Man City. The Reds have been chalked up as 8/15 favourites and with their home form and in form attackers it could be argued that is fair but it’s not a working mans price.
It’s intriguing to see what the managers would take in the first leg in this competition, especially in the latter stages. Both these teams have been involved in goal heavy games in the UCL this season but it will be cagey, Roma will not want to open up here and allow Liverpool to get at them on the break and Liverpool will be happy with a win especially if they do not concede an away goal. I can see the argument as to why people would think this will be a goal heavy game, and the myth that first leg games in this competition has been dispelled however Roma will not be as on the front foot and attacking as Manchester City were in the Quarters. In my eyes the visitors wouldn’t be too disappointed with a one goal loss and Liverpool would probably take that too and go into the away leg set up to defend and hit Roma on the counter attack.
Roma produced a perfect performance to get past Barcelona in the 2nd leg last time out. 4-1 down after the first leg at the Camp Nou and bookies weren’t even pricing up Roma to qualify after that, they defied logic to win 3-0 at the Olimpico, the intimidating atmosphere along with a fully spirited and exquisitely accomplished game plan saw them through and immense credit has to go to gaffer Eusebio Di Francesco. The Giallorossi will want this tie to be alive for the return leg and will hope to defend better than they did in that first leg in the Catalan capital. Just remember, this is a team that topped a group which included Chelsea and Atletico Madrid as well as knocking out a tricky Shakhtar Donetsk side and the La Liga champions, the should not be underestimated.
I do think Liverpool will take a lead into the away leg given the respective home/away form of the two teams but it’s how to find value as 8/15 on the Reds is too skinny. Given the fact this is a first leg and a lots at stake I’ll take the odds against price of 21/20 with Coral on Liverpool to win in a game featuring fewer than 5 goals. This covers a lot of scorelines and boosts the short price favourites to a more attractive quote.
Nathanial Clyne may be fit enough for the bench, Trent Alexander-Arnold is likely to fill back in at full back.
Diego Perroti is back in contention for the visitors however Gregory Defrel and Rick Karsdorp remain sidelined.
Potential Liverpool Starting XI: Karius, Alexander-Arnold, Van Dijk, Lovren, Robertson, Henderson, Milner, Oxlade-Chamberlain, Mane, Firmino, Salah.
Potential Roma Starting XI: Alison, Peres, Manolas, Fazio, Juan Jesus, De Rossi, Strootman, Naingollan, El Shawaray, Pellegrini, Dzeko.
- Liverpool are yet to lose to Roma in this competition in their 3 meetings.
- Mo Salah has scored in his last four Champions League Starts for Liverpool.
- Roma have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 26 away champions league games.
- Liverpool – 8/15
- Draw – 10/3
- Roma – 28/5
- Mo Salah To Score anytime – 7/10
- Liverpool to win and BTTS – 15/8
- Liverpool to win and under 4.5 goals – 21/20 (Coral)
- Liverpool to win by exactly 1 goal – 3/1 (SkyBet)