Man Utd v Crystal Palace Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 24/11/18

Man Utd v Crystal Palace Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Dave South (@LockupTipster) previews Manchester United vs Crystal Palace and provides us with his best bets for Saturday’s 15:00pm kick off by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

Manchester United v Crystal Palace Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 24/11/18
  • Time: 15:00
  • Venue: Old Trafford
  • Channel: N/A

Post international break for the final time in 2018 sees Manchester United looking to keep ground with the front runners to propel themselves back towards the top four and must really win this game just to keep pace after losing the Manchester derby before the break. Crystal Palace on the other hand come into this with a winless streak, so time will tell if the international break has helped Roy Hodgson’s men regroup.

Odds compilers take the view the palace rot will continue being quoted as big as 8/1 in places, with the hosts around 21/50 and the draw at 4/1, which may capture some interest.

Team News

Luke Shaw serves a one-match ban for Manchester United after picking up his fifth booking of the Premier League season before the international break.

With Ashley Young expected to start at left-back, Antonio Valencia could make his first appearance for United in almost two months. Alternatively, summer signing Diogo Dalot is available again and could make his league debut at right-back.

French duo Paul Pogba and Anthony Martial were both ruled out of the international break through injury but are expected to recover in time to start here.

Marcus Rashford was forced off in England's 2-1 win over Croatia on Sunday through injury and will need further assessment ahead of this weekend's clash.

Romelu Lukaku has spent the international break in Belgium recovering from injury and is a major doubt for the home side.

Victor Lindelof recovered from illness to feature, and score, in Sweden's 2-0 win over Russia on Tuesday and should be fine to start against Crystal Palace on Saturday. Eric Bailly is a doubt, however.

Mamadou Sakho was forced off at half-time in France's 1-0 win over Uruguay on Tuesday due to a back injury and the Crystal Palace centre-back may miss out this weekend as a result.

Aaron Wan-Bissaka was forced to withdraw from England U21 duty with a shoulder problem sustained before the international break and Roy Hodgson will hope to have the right-back available here.

Former Manchester United winger Wilfried Zaha missed the defeat to Tottenham before the international break and will be desperate to recover in time to play at Old Trafford.

Potential Manchester United Starting XI: Gea, Valencia, Smalung, Lindeof, Young, Herrera, Matic, Pogba, Lingard, Sanchez and Martial

Potential Crystal Palace Starting XI: Hennessey, Aanholt, Kelly, Tomkins, Wan-Bissaka, McArthur, Kouyata, Milvoejevic, Meyer, Townsend and Zaha

Head To Head

  • Manchester United 6-0-0 (Last six)

Key Stats & Facts

  • Manchester United are undefeated in 35 of their last 38 home matches in the league
  • There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Manchester United’s last 6 league games
  • Palace have lost 5 of their last 6 league matches
  • Palace have conceded at least 2 goals in all of their last 3 league away games

Betting Odds

  • Manchester United – 21/50 William Hill
  • Draw – 4/1 Bet365
  • Crystal Palace – 8/1 Unibet

The Verdict

The international break came at a good time for Manchester United after losing the Manchester derby 3-1, which ended a run of three straight away matches in all competitions. This is their first match at Old Trafford in almost a month. Crystal Palace, who are winless in seven matches (D1, L6) have fresh injury concerns to contend with ahead of their trip to Old Trafford, where they have failed to score in their last five attempts.

Taking the above on board, BetVictor are offering 7/10 on United on the Asian handicap to win by two or more, ergo winning by one being an insurance of a refunded bet. The Asian line is priced at 1.25 goal line at even money suggesting that if Mourinho’s men only win by a single goal only triggers a half loss if they fail to win by two. With the -1.5 goal line requiring a clear two goal margin at only 9/7 with Paddy Power, the -1.25 does appeal at evens, but so also does the 7/10 with the full insurance at BetVictor boosting the overall match price of just over 2/5 for them to win the game.

I also liked the look of Manchester United to win and under 3.5 goals as an alternative option and can be backed at 23/20 with Coral, although when comparing elsewhere, Skybet offer the similar-ish bet in another format being united to win 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 at 13/8, but does not offer the 3-0 permutation if you fancy Palace to score instead of a 3-0.

It is possibly a bit short for some readers, but winning returns is what we strive towards and mitigating risk.

Recommended Bets

  • Manchester United -1 Asian Handicap 7/10 (BetVictor)