Olympiacos v Burnley Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 23rd August
Sam Langston (@Samlan98) previews Olympiakos v Burnley and provides us with his best bets for Thursday’s Europa League qualifier by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
Olympiakos v Burnley Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 23/08/2018
- Time: 19:00
- Venue: Karaiskakis Stadium
- Channel: Non-televised
Just two play-off matches stand in Burnley’s way of securing a group stage spot in this season’s Europa League.
The Clarets have progressed to the final stage of qualification after earning extra-time victories against Aberdeen and İstanbul Başakşehir.
Southern Europe is their next destination this Thursday, where a first-legged showdown awaits versus Greek giants Olympiakos.
Conceding just twice in their four European fixtures thus far, Sean Dyche’s side have defended resolutely in rounds prior. Built on a resilient rear-guard and a compact playing style, they are difficult to break down and frustrate opposition.
Contrasting Burnley’s pragmatic playing style, exuberant hosts, Olympiakos, employ an attack-minded approach.
Previously, The Red and Whites eased through qualifying round three, thumping Swiss side FC Luzern 7-1 on aggregate.
Such conflicting approaches makes this a tactically intriguing tie, but also difficult to predict on paper. We should therefore focus our attention away from 1×2 market and instead, explore alternative angles which potentially provide value.
With this in mind, we can focus on forecasting the corner match, by examining the tactical set-ups of both sides. Burnley have been out shot in three of their four European ties, collectively conceding a count of 49 to 29. Their deep-sitting style has led to the surrendering of corners, accumulating seven or more for the opposition in all but one fixture.
Domestically, no Super League side attempted more crosses than Olympiakos last season, who also ranked second in total shots metric. This offensive trend has continued into Europe this term, having fired in 45 strikes over 180 minutes so far. Contributing to nine corners against FC Luzern at home, this feat can be replicated on a similar level this Thursday.
Olympiakos gaffer Pedro Martins is expected to have a full squad at his disposal.
Burnley new boy Matěj Vydra has been registered to participate in the play-off round, in addition to stopper Tom Heaton. Nick Pope, Steven Defour, and Robbie Brady are recovering from injuries and remain sidelined.
Potential Olympiakos Starting XI: Gianniotis, Tsimikas, Vuković, Miranda, Elabdellaoui, Camara, Bouchalakis, Podence, Fortounis, Christodoulopoulos, Guerrero.
Potential Burnley Starting XI: Hart, Taylor, Gibson, Tarkowski, Bardsley, Westwood, Hendrick, Cork, Gudmundsson, Barnes, Vokes.
Head To Head
- The sides have never met before.
Key Stats & Facts
- Burnley conceded corner counts of: 1, 9, 10, and 7 versus Aberdeen and İstanbul Başakşehir.
- Olympiakos – 7/10
- Draw – 14/5
- Burnley – 11/2
When considering the respective approaches of both sides, there is value in backing the home side to rack up corners.
Stat enthusiast who enjoys analysing betting markets to seek out value. Always wanting to further my knowledge on different betting approaches and data analytics, as well as the tactical side of the game. I specialise in European and South American football but will watch or write about almost anything if it's football-related.