Parma v Inter Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 10/02/19

Parma v Inter Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Marcello Cossali-Francis (@marcello95cf) previews Parma v Inter and provides us with his best bets for Saturday’s Serie A clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

Parma v Inter Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 09/02/19
  • Time: 19:30
  • Venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini

A struggling Inter side travel to northern Italy this weekend to face an impressive Parma side, who came back from 3-1 down in Turin to hold leaders, Juventus, to a 3-3 draw last weekend.

Inter have gone three games without a win in the league, including two consecutive 1-0 defeats at the hands of Torino and relegation threatened Bologna in their last fixture.

Luciano Spaletti’s men have won just three of their last nine league games and have scored just six goals in that process. They have failed to score more than one goal in eight of those nine games and are currently on a run of three games without a league goal.

As for the home side, they have been somewhat of a surprise package in Serie A this season. Following their promotion from Serie B, they currently sit in 12th place in the league, only six points away from a potential European spot. They have won eight games so far this season, but only three have them have come at home and they are winless in their last four at the Stadio Ennio Tardini.

Inter are struggling for goals at the minute, having scored just 31 league goals so far (the third lowest in the top 10) but have only conceded 16 goals, which is the second-best defensive record in the league.

Parma have lost all three of their games against top half opposition at home so far this season and they have kept just three clean sheets in their 11 home games thus far.

Team News

Parma have no injury concerns for this game following last weekend’s 3-3 draw at league leaders, Juventus. Manager, Roberto D’Aversa, should name an unchanged side.

Matteo Politano is suspended for this game, whilst Antonio Candreva and Ivan Perisic are expected to start. Sime Vrsaljko is out with a long-term knee injury and may return back to his parent club, Atletico Madrid, to continue his recovery.

Potential Bologna Starting XI: Sepe; Iacoponi, Alves, Bastoni, Gagliolo; Kucka, Scozzarella, Barilla; Gervinho, Inglese, Biabiany

Potential Inter Starting XI: Handanovic; Cedric, De Vrij, Skriniar, Dalbert; Gagliardini, Brozovic, Nainggolan; Candreva, Icardi, Perisic

Head-to-Head

These two sides have faced each other 45 times, with Inter winning 18 of those, Parma winning 15 and 12 draws. Only five of those Inter wins have come in Parma and the away side this weekend have only won one of the last five games against their opponents, having not beaten Parma since 2014.

Key Stats & Facts

  • There have been under 2.5 goals in Inter’s last 8 league games.
  • Inter have failed to score in their last 3 in the league.
  • Parma have scored at least two goals in their last three league games.

Betting Odds

  • Parma – 17/4
  • Draw – 61/20
  • Inter – 13/18

The Verdict

Luciano Spaletti will know that anything other than a win here could spell the end of his tenure at the club, with expectations so high and Champions League a must next season. They are in third at the minute, but with the teams below them picking up pace, they need to start putting a run together to pull away from those sides.

Given Parma pulled off such a brilliant performance at Juventus last weekend, the 17/4 on offer for them is tempting. However, their home form puts me off and given how much more quality Inter possess, even when they’re playing badly, it would not be wise to oppose them. The bet I’m going for here is ‘Inter to win and under 3.5 goals’ at 7/5 with Betfair. Inter to win and under 3.5 goals has resulted in 11 of Inter’s 12 wins so far this season and the fact they are the second-best defensive side in the league and averaging the concession of just 0.7 goals per game, Parma look very much up against it.

Parma haven’t won a game in four matches and have conceded five goals in their last two matches at home. Inter are in a difficult spot at the minute but this game, away from their expectant San Siro crowd, should provide them with a good opportunity to get a first win in four games. Parma will look to sit deep and Inter rarely score lots of goals, so the under 3.5 mark gives us a little room for something a bit out of the ordinary, but also looks a very decent play.

Inter’s last three victories have been by a 1-0 score line and given they are struggling to score but are looking very solid defensively, the 13/2 on Inter winning 1-0 looks like a decent bet for those who like a longshot.

Recommended Bets

  • Inter to win and under 3.5 goals – 7/5 (Betfair)
  • Inter to win 1-0 – 13/2 (SportingBet)