Poland v Colombia Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 24th June

Poland v Colombia Betting Preview, Odds & Tips 24th June

Patrick Gillden (@PatrickGillen94) previews Poland v Colombia and provides us with his best bets for Sunday evening’s Group H fixture by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

Poland v Colombia Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 24/06/18
  • Time: 19:00
  • Venue: Kazan Arena
  • Channel: ITV

With both teams on the brink of elimination from the World Cup, this Group H clash promises to be an electric affair.

The two pre-tournament group favourites will do battle in the Kazan Arena in a game in which Colombia striker Radamel Falcao has described as being ‘like a final’.

Poland, despite being equipped with Bayern Munich striker Robert Lewandowski, were out-fought and outclassed by Senegal in all areas of the pitch during their opener, losing 2-1.

Colombia were hampered by the second-fastest red card in world cup history during their defeat to Japan, awarded to Carlos Sanchez for handball.

To the Colombians credit, they battled very well with just ten men and were perhaps unlucky not to get a positive result after equalising through a clever Quintero free kick.

Alas, this game is now a must-win for both sides as defeat for either nation would spell disastrous World Cup failure.

Team News

Colombian favourite James Rodriguez is set to start after appearing as a substitute in the defeat to Japan. The attacking midfielder won the Golden Boot four years ago in Brazil, finishing the tournament with six goals.

Poland centre back Kamil Glik has returned to full training following his shoulder injury but still remains a doubt, meaning Thiago Coniek will likely continue to deputise in defence.

Potential Poland Starting XI: Szczesny, Piszczek, Cionek, Glik, Rybus, Krychowiak, Linetty, Milik, Zielinski, Grosiki, Lewandowski

Potential Colombia Starting XI:  Ospina, Arias, Zapata, Murillo, Mojica, Aguilar, Lerma, Cuadrado, Quintero, James, Falcao

Head To Head

  • This will be the first competitive meeting between Poland and Colombia – the South Americans won the most recent friendly 2-1 in 2006.
  • Colombia have won only two of their nine previous World Cup games against European opponents (D2 L5).
  • None of Poland’s last nine World Cup games against South American opponents has finished as a draw (W4 L5).

Key Stats & Facts

  • Poland have lost seven of their past nine World Cup matches (W2), failing to score in six of those losses.
  • They have failed to keep a clean sheet in nine World Cup games.
  • Robert Lewandowski has scored 21 goals in 16 games for Poland.
  • None of Colombia’s 19 World Cup games have ended goalless.
  • Only once before (USA 94) have Colombia lost their opening two World Cup fixtures.

Betting Odds

  • Poland 11/5
  • Draw – 23/10
  • Colombia – 5/4

The Verdict

Expect goals in this one as Poland’s ten qualifiers averaged four goals per game. Add to this the absence of key Colombian defensive midfielder Sanchez and a doubt to Polish centre back Glik and the need for both sides to get three points.

Robert Lewandowski rarely goes two games without a goal but with James Rodriguez returning for the Colombians, the South American side may just edge it.

Recommended Bets

  • 2-1 to Colombia correct score – 9/1
  • Lewandowski and James both to score – 13/2