Tom Love (@TomLove_18) previews Queens Park Rangers vs Brentford and provides us with his best bets for Monday's clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
- 2019/2020 Season Profit & Loss: +26.6pts
QPR v Brentford Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 28/10/19
- Time: 19:45pm
- Venue: Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
- Channel: SkySports Football
We have a west London derby for your delight and delectation on Monday night and it should be an absolute cracker under the lights.
QPR have surprised many with their positive start to the season, the super hoops are currently residing in the play-off places and their attacking, enterprising style has bared fruit thus far. Current gaffer Mark Warburton has promoted an ambitious playing style at Loftus Road and fans have been treated to a whole host of entertaining matches that they've largely had the better of.
The pessimistic summer at the club has been turned into hope, the late arrivals of striking duo Jordan Hugill and Nahki Wells has made a monumental difference to this side and Warbs has managed to shoehorn both Echberi Eze and Ilias Chair into a side with two strikers in what looks to be a narrow 4-2-2-2 formation. Eze has been the star of the division this season and his name has been mooted on the international scene already. Eze impressed on loan at Wycombe but no-one would've expected this step up, his confidence is flowing and surely premier league clubs are keeping a close eye on him.
Brentford had a relatively shaky start to the season and despite dominating games they weren't getting the rub of the green. Data nerds will have been accustomed to the Bees performing well but not getting their rewards but of late they've been involved in some tighter games that they've ended up winning.
Their front three is at least on a par with QPR's and Ollie Watkins has impressively slotting into a centre forward position and is only behind Aleksander Mitrovic in the top goalscorer stakes. Brentford are well known for their far flung scouting network and they've utilised it again to bring in Troyes attacker Bryan M'Beumo to the club, following a similar path to the classy Said Benrahma who came from the French second tier too. Bees are operating at a healthy 1.5 xG for per game and they're sure to get chances against this open R's side.
QPR have no fresh injury concerns.
Brentford are without Luka Racic, Nikolas Karesis and Sergi Canos.
Potential QPR Starting XI: Kelly, Rangel, Leistner, Barbet, Manning, Scowen, Cameron, Chair, Eze, Wells, Hugill.
Potential Brentford Starting XI: Martin, Dalsgaard, Jeanvier, Jansson, Henry, Mokotjo, Da Silva, Norgaard, Benrahma, M'Beumo, Watkins.
Key Stats & Facts
- There have been over 2.5 goals in 9 of QPR's last 10 championship games.
- QPR have scored 2 or more in their last 3 matches.
- QPR have conceded 2 or more in their last 5 matches.
- Brentford have scored 3 in 3 of their last 5.
- Ollie Watkins has contributed to 53% of Brentford's goals (goals and assists) this season, more than any other championship player.
- QPR – 19/10
- Draw – 5/2
- Brentford – 8/5
This should be a cracker and it is the best game in the EFL this weekend for my money so I'm glad it's been chosen for live viewing. QPR have been superb going forward with the trio of Eze, Hugill and Wells providing alternative threats. Mark Warburton has worked wonders for a side tipped by many for the drop in pre-season.
Brentford were resounding 3-0 winners at Swansea last time out, slick as ever through the transitions they're always and attacking threat. Bees are well known for their strong performance data in recent years and that's continued yet again this season. Ollie Watkins has filled the Neil Maupay void admirably and summer signing Bryan M'Beumo is starting show what he's all about. Said Benrahma has yet to show his best form but his man of the match performance in Wales last week will hopefully kickstart his campaign, on his day he is one of the best in the league.
I'm instantly drawn to the goals market here and the 10/11 on both teams to score and over 2.5 goals looks just the ticket. It's landed in 9 of QPR's 13 league games this season and given their goalscoring exploits they should get a goal or two here. That being said, defensively they're not the best conceding 2 or more in their last 5 games. Brentford have scored 3 in each of their last two games and they bagged thrice at Barnsley a few weeks ago too. They can play their part in what should be an entertaining derby under the lights.
I'm also willing to dip into the cards market and backed the 9/2 available with Bet365 on American utility man Geoff Cameron to be cautioned. Cameron can't get about the pitch like he used to but his experience does help this largely youthful R's side, that being said he can commit quite a few fouls and is likely to be playing defensive midfield, one of the most booked positions on the pitch.
He's seen 4 cards already this season in just 10 appearances and he will have his hands full with the likes of M'Beumo and the skilful Benrahma floating into his areas. He may not be able to keep up if Brentford break too and could commit a cynical foul. I'd say anything over 3/1 on Cameron to be booked is value and I'll have a 1 point play for a bit of interest at a good price.