Rafael Nadal v Dominic Thiem Betting Preview & Tips | 10th June

  • 9th June 2018
Rafael Nadal v Dominic Thiem Betting Preview & Tips 10th June

Marcelo Cossali-Francis (@marchCF96) previews Saturday’s men’s French Open final between Rafael Nadal and Dominic Thiem and provides us with his best bets.

Rafael Nadal v Dominic Thiem Betting Preview & Tips

  • Time: 14:00 BST
  • Venue: Philippe-Chatrier, Paris
  • Channel: ITV 1

The ‘King of Clay’ takes centre-stage again on Sunday afternoon, as Rafael Nadal aims to win his 11th Roland Garros title against his potential clay-court king successor, Dominic Thiem.

To say Nadal has dominated at this tournament since his first appearance back in 2005 would be a total understatement. He has won every final he has taken part in at Roland Garros and has never lost more than a set in those finals. In Grand Slams alone, Rafa has made 24 finals, winning 16 of those, giving him a 69% success rate in major finals.

The task facing Dominic Thiem is huge and one that pretty much depends on how Rafa performs. The 10-time champion has not looked as formidable as past years this tournament, and yet, has still only dropped the one set in total. He looked vulnerable against Diego Schwartzman at a set and a break down in the quarter-finals but a rain delay and a moment to gather his thoughts eventually saw him through in four sets, which was his only real test at the French this time around.

As for Thiem, he is fancied by most as the second-best clay court player on the tour at the moment and many believe he is the heir to Rafa’s ‘King of Clay’ thrown. He did also get the better of Nadal recently in Madrid, beating him in the quarter-finals and in doing so, ended the Spaniard’s 51-sets in a row on clay streak. The Austrian has come through some tough matches to get to this stage, beating the likes of Kei Nishikori and second seed, Alexander Zverev, comfortably. His semi-final against the un-seeded Marco Cecchinato was a real test for the opening two sets but he eventually came through 3-0 to reach his first ever Grand Slam final.

The Verdict

Nadal is the heavy favourite, as expected, at 5/18 with Thiem out at 37/10. Given Rafa’s record and the fact this is Thiem’s first ever Grand-Slam, it is hard to see anything other than a win for Rafa. However, Thiem has beaten him on clay already this season, so he at least knows how to get the better of him and I can see him taking a set off the reigning Champion. But Nadal is just too strong on clay and despite a spirited and exciting performance from Thiem, I expect Nadal to come through in four sets. Therefore, Nadal to win the match 3-1 would be my bet here and you can find that, best priced, at 14/5.

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