Real Madrid v Liverpool Betting Preview, Tips & Odds | 26th May
In our Real Madrid v Liverpool betting preview we look at team news, potential line-ups, stats & facts, head-to-head, popular bets and more for the 2018 UEFA Champions League final.
Real Madrid v Liverpool Betting Preview
Date: 26th May
Venue: NSC Olimpiyskiy Stadium
Channel: BT Sport 1 & YouTube
An estimated global TV audience of 350 million will watch European powerhouses Real Madrid and Liverpool go head-to-head in the 2018 UEFA Champions League final in Kiev.
Current holders and 12-time winners Real Madrid once again have the chance to pen their names into the history books as Zinedine Zidane’s side will be looking to build on their back-to-back Champions League triumphs and complete an astounding hat-trick of Europe’s most famous trophy.
As for Liverpool, the five-time winners last won the Champions League in 2005, beating Italian giant’s AC Milan on penalties after coming back from 3-0 down, in what is arguably the most memorable moment in Champions League history. But anyway, that’s an argument for another day…
On the road to this year’s final Real Madrid have knocked out the likes of PSG, Juventus and Bayern Munich, who are all champions of their respective leagues. Both teams scored in all but one of Real’s knock-out matches, averaging a high 3.7 goals per game.
Liverpool have also faced title winners on their road to Kiev, seeing off Premier League winners Manchester City and Primeira Liga title-holders Porto, before seeing off Serie A side Roma in the semi-finals.
For the Red’s, there’s been an average 4.5 goals per game, this is notably high considering both teams scored in only three of their six post group-stage matches. Over 3.5 goals is valued just above evens at 11/10, whilst a five-goal thriller in the form of over 4.5 goals, can be found at 5/2.
Jurgen Klopp’s men are currently the top-scores in the tournament with 40 and the deadly trio of Roberto Firmino (10 goals), Mohammed Salah (10 goals) and Saido Mané (9 goals), can be thanked for that, as they’ve scored 29 goals between themselves. Brazilian forward Firmino is currently priced at 15/8 to score in 90 minutes, which looks good value considering his goal-scoring record this season.
However, Los Blancos have Cristiano Ronaldo, who is the current top scorer with 15 goals, averaging a goal every 79 minutes in the Champions League this season. The Ballon d’Or winner has bagged a ludicrous 43 goals in his last 37 games in this competition, including two goals in last season’s final against Juventus. CR7 can be found at 11/4 to score twice against Liverpool on Saturday night, which seems generous, all things considering.
As for Head-to-head, this can be a rather misleading stat in Champions League fixtures as sides don’t consistently face each other. The two finalists have met five times before in this competition, most recently in the 2014/15 group stages where Madrid came out on top, winning both home (1-0) and away (0-3).
Despite these fixtures only being four years ago, a lot has changed. For the Merseyside club, it is likely that none of the players who started back in 2014 will start in Kiev, as for Real Madrid, they find themselves under new management.
Interestingly, Zinedine and Klopp have never faced each other in the dugout, so not a lot can be taken from this. However, Klopp has faced Real Madrid six times before, with former club Borussia Dortmund. To the Liverpool fans’ delight, the German manager has the upper hand against the Spanish giants, winning three, drawing one and losing two.
There may also be some value in the cards market with Milorad Mazic taking charge of this year’s final. The Serbian has officiated five Champions League games this season and has produced four or more yellow cards on three occasions.
Real Madrid and Liverpool have both picked up 21 yellows each on their way to the Kiev, averaging 1.75 yellows each, per game. Over 40+ booking points is priced at 2/5 and looks good value.
Barring Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain, who is ruled out for the season, Liverpool will take a fully fit squad to Kiev as Emre Can and James Milner have returned to training.
Likewise, Real Madrid have no major injury concerns after Dani Carvajal and Cristiano Ronaldo returned to training following injuries against Villarreal.
Neither side are missing players to suspensions.
Potential Real Madrid Starting XI: Navas; Carvajal, Ramos, Varane, Marcelo; Kroos, Modric, Casemiro; Vasquez, Ronaldo, Benzema.
Potential Liverpool Starting XI: Karius; Alexander-Arnold, Lovren, Van Dijk, Robertson; Milner, Henderson, Wijnaldum; Salah, Firmino, Mane.
Head To Head
- Real Madrid wins: 2
- Liverpool wins: 3
Stats & Facts
- Liverpool beat Real Madrid 1-0 in the 1981 European Cup final.
- The last time these sides met was in the 2014 group stages, Real Madrid winning home and away.
- Real Madrid have won the Champions League/European Cup 12 times, the most in the competitions history.
- Liverpool have more Champions League/European Cups than Arsenal, Manchester United, Manchester City, Chelsea and Spurs combined.
- Trent Alexander-Arnold, 19, can become the youngest Englishman to play in a Champions League final.
- Mohamed Salah will be the first Egyptian to win the Champions League, should Liverpool win.
- Real Madrid 6/5
- Draw 11/4
- Liverpool 2/1
- Both Teams To Score @ 4/11
- Real Madrid win & Over 3.5 Goals @ 100/30