Russia v Scotland Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 10/10/19

Russia v Scotland Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Football specialist James O’Rourke (@JamesOR1) previews Russia v Scotland and provides us with his best bets for Thursday’s Euro 2020 qualification fixture by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: -12.48pts

Russia v Scotland Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 10/10/19
  • Time: 19:45
  • Venue: Luzhniki Stadium
  • Channel: Sky Sports

Russia and Belgium are in pole position to qualify for Euro 2020 out of Group I as the pair enjoy a considerable point’s gap over the remaining nations. So much so, both could seal their qualification over this international break. As for Scotland, this is a must-win encounter if they are to retain their ultra-slim hopes of gate-crashing the top-two party. That may seem unlikely as the Tartan Army have lost three games running, including the home meeting with Russia last month. Russia are on a five-game winning run after beginning the group losing 3-1 away in Belgium.

Team News

There are six uncapped players in the Russia squad for the games versus Scotland and Cyprus. Five players utilised in the previous international squad have been left out by Head Coach Stanislav Cherchesov. It is expected he will field his strongest squad versus Scotland, before potentially rotated for the Cyprus game if qualification is already confirmed.

Scotland have called up Dundee Utd striker Lawrence Shankland to their squad for the first time, whilst John Fleck of Sheffield United is in the travelling party. Matt Phillips and Steven Naismith are injured, whilst Steve Clarke decided against calling up Stuart Armstrong, but Keiran Tierney remains at Arsenal to improve his fitness. Ryan Jack and Grant Hanley are also out after injuries with their clubs, so Declan Gallagher of Motherwell received a late call-up.

Potential Russia Starting XI: Guilherme, Fernandes, Dzhikiya, Semenov, Zhirkov, Zobnin, Ozdoev, Ionov, Cheryshev, Dzyuba, Golovin.

Potential Scotland Starting XI: Marshall, O’Donnell, Devlin, Mulgrew, Robertson, McTominay, McGinn, McGregor, Forrest, McBurnie, Fraser.

Head To Head

  • This will only be the fourth ever meeting between Russia and Scotland. Prior to meeting last month in Group I, the pair also graced the same group in qualification for Euro 96, with both encounters finishing draws. Russia outscore Scotland 3-2 across those three previous clashes.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Russia will confirm a top-two position with victory in this game, but that would also depend on Kazakhstan and Cyprus drawing. Scotland have to win to give themselves a shot of qualification out of the group.
  • Russia have won their last five games, conceding only one goal (versus Scotland) and scoring a total 17 goals; which includes the 9-0 home triumph over San Marino. Only Germany, Sweden and Belgium have defeated Russia since the World Cup finished, all coming away from home.
  • It is also five home clean sheets in a row for Russia, which included two UEFA Nations League fixtures. Russia are unbeaten on home soil since Uruguay defeated them during the last World Cup in June 2018.
  • Scotland are on a 17-game run of either winning or losing. Their last draw was away to Slovenia in World Cup qualifying back in October 2017.
  • It is three straight defeats for Scotland, but they last suffered four international losses in succession in 2004. 2016/17 was the last time when enduring a four-game winless run (two draws, two defeats).

Betting Odds

  • Russia 1/2
  • Draw 13/5
  • Scotland 15/2

The Verdict

The table itself suggests that this is a more important game for Russia, who could potentially seal qualification for a win. The odds suggest this should be a routine success for them, but Scotland I feel will make them work hard for it. The Scots are playing for pride in one sense and they haven’t lost four games in a row for around 15 years. Russia are clearly in better form, but the last three have been tight, low-scoring affairs, two of which were draws at half-time, and the other a late goal scored in the opening 45. Russia don’t concede many, keeping five home clean sheets in a row, whilst Scotland have failed to score in eight of their last 15 away internationals. Russia winning ‘to nil’ is worthy of interest, as is the Draw/Russia HT/FT selection at attractive odds.

Recommended Bets

  • 1pt – Russia to win ‘to nil – 23/20 (Bet Victor)
  • 1pt – Draw/Russia (HT/FT) – 13/4 (Marathon)