Sweden v England Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 7th July
Anthony Olsson (@Ant_olsson93) previews Sweden v England and provides us with his best bets for Saturday’s World Cup Quarter Final clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
Sweden v England Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 07/07/18
- Time: 15:00
- Venue: Samara Arena
- Channel: BBC One
Sweden vs England in a World Cup Quarter Final, not many pundits would have predicted that. Saturday afternoon offers both of these teams their best chance of reaching the Semi-Finals for the first time in an age.
A lot of strange things have happened at this World Cup so it seemed perfectly fitting that England won their first ever Penalty Shootout at a World cup on Tuesday night. Eric Dier’s winning penalty sent England through to the Quarter Final and got everyone believing that Gareth Southgate and his brave lions are going to bring football home.
Earlier on in the day Sweden came out on top against Switzerland in a hard fought game with few chances. Forsberg’s deflected goal in the second half was enough to beat a Switzerland side that severely lacked quality in the final third.
So then, let’s try and work out how this game goes without being completely bias toward the mighty three lions. Sweden more so than England have a clear identity in how they want to play the beautiful game. Their game is built on a solid defensive unit and they’ve been comfortable without the ball, having only 37% of the ball against the Swiss. Andreas Granqvist, who has 2 goals in the tournament, has formed a strong partnership with Victor Lindelof, who looks much more comfortable in the middle of defence for his country rather than as a makeshift right back for his club Manchester United. In attack Sweden look to have a very good player on their hands in Emil Forsberg and the Swedish number 10 grabbed the goal in an impressive midfield display. He’ll be key to helping Sweden get further up the pitch in what is sure to be another defensive display against England.
England, for the most part against Colombia looked fairly comfortable in the face of some strong provocation. For the third time this tournament Harry Kane scored a penalty for England to take the Tottenham star to 6 goals in the competition and he is now surely a shoe in for the golden boot. The bookmakers have Kane priced at 4/11 to win the Golden Boot. England will have plenty of possession against Sweden and we should see more chances for Kane to add to his tally.
This will be a very interesting game tactically and it could come down to a mistake or a bit of individual brilliance. With England being effective from the flanks, you would imagine that Sweden would need to step up as a unit to cut the space off out wide, this however would give England more space in behind to exploit. Sweden will fancy their chances of frustrating the Three Lions and will hope to capitalise on any mistakes that are made. Despite this, England have more match winners in their team with the likes of Raheem Sterling, Dele Alli, Jesse Lingard and Harry Kane. With the Spurs man in the team they not only have a goal scorer but they have a clever player and leader. Kane to Score first in this game is best priced 31/10 (marathon bet) and with the form he is in and his ability in the box it’s definitely still a good punt.
As mentioned before Sweden are very astute at the back, they have only conceded two goals in the tournament and they will be looking to this defensive resilience to give them a chance of nicking something at the other end. Under 2.5 goals in the match is bets priced 14/25 (Marathon Bet)
In my last preview I noticed that there was some good value in whether there would be a penalty awarded in the match. In this game we have England who have been awarded 3 penalties and Sweden who have been awarded 2. The odds for there to be a penalty awarded in this game are best priced 13/8 (Betway) this could be the way to go as England in particular seem to cause a lot of chaos in the opposition box.
Dele Alli will be a concern after appearing to struggle with the groin injury which afflicted him earlier in the tournament.
As for Sweden, Celtic defender Mikael Lustig is suspended after picking up a booking against Switzerland.
Potential Sweden Starting XI: Olsen, Krafth, Lindelof, Granqvist, Augustinsson, Claesson, Larsson, Ekdal, Forsberg, Berg, Toivonen
Potential England Starting XI: Pickford, Walker, Stones, Maguire, Trippier, Young, Henderson, Alli, Lingard, Sterling, Kane
Head To Head
- This will be the 25th meeting between Sweden and England. England have won eight to Sweden’s seven, with nine draws
Key Stats & Facts
- Both of the previous World Cup meetings between the two have finished level.
- Sweden could become the third team that England have beaten at both the World Cup and European Championships, after Germany and Switzerland. They beat Sweden 3-2 in EURO 2012.
- England have reached the Quarter Final of the World cup for the first time since 2006. Sweden have made the last eight for the first time since 1994.
- Sweden 4/1
- Draw 29/12
- England 39/40
England have the Semi-Final in their sights on Saturday and it could be a nervy affair but I’d be backing quality to come through in the end. Harry Kane is England’s man of the moment and I expect him to grab himself another goal on Saturday against a scrooge like Swedish defense. This World cup has seen plenty of penalties and I’m backing another to be awarded on Saturday.