Tottenham v Arsenal Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 01/03/19

Tottenham v Arsenal Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Dave South (@LockupTipster) previews Spurs v Arsenal and provides us with his best bets for Saturday’s 12:30pm kick off by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: -5.49pts

Tottenham Hotspur v Arsenal Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 02/03/19
  • Time: 12:30
  • Venue: Wembley
  • Channel: BT Sport 2

A big fixture for both sides, as usually this game has had a reputation for goals a few seasons back and lately has suffered fewer goals than punters realise without checking. No wonder BT Sport captured this game with a highly anticipated outcome based on the result of this game potentially setting some precedence for the weekend fixtures.

Spurs will need to stop the rot after back to back defeats and have to consider the realistic probability that their title challenge is now over for another season. A win for the gunners would bring them within a point of their London rivals in third and come into the game high on confidence after mauling Bournemouth 5-1 in midweek.

Team News

After back to back defeats Pochettino is under pressure to change his formula and is without Dier, Alli and Janssen from his squad

Rumours suggest Danny Rose will return to the line-up with Vertonghen likely to make the bench, if he can shake off a niggling hip

After an excellent 5-1 thrashing on Bournemouth, Arsenal are unlikely to have Kolasinac for the game after being substituted with a suspected injury.

It is more than likely, Mustafi, Xhaka, Lacazette and Ramsey are in contention for the starting eleven

Potential Spurs Starting XI: Lloris, Rose, Vertonghen, Alderweireld, Sanchez, Sissoko, Aurier, Winks, Erikson, Son and Liorente

Potential Arsenal Starting XI: Leno, Mustafi, Koscielny, Sokratis, Kolasinac, Xhaka, Torreira, Ramsey, Maitland-Niles, Aubameyang and Lacazette

Head To Head

  • Spurs 3-1-2 (Last six)

Key Stats & Facts

  • Spurs have won 3 of the last six, but suffered defeat in the reverse fixture in December.
  • Both teams to score has landed in just two of the last six meetings.
  • There has been over 2.5 goals score in eleven or Arsenal’s last thirteen away.
  • Spurs games at home have resulted in three or more goals in eight of the last ten at home.
  • Spurs have won their last three at home.

Betting Odds

  • Spurs – 19/20 Ladbrokes
  • Draw – 14/5 888sport
  • Arsenal – 27/10 Unibet

The Verdict

The previous meeting in early December was a smashing game to watch with Arsenal winning a thriller 4-2 at the Emirates. With Harry Kane now back in the squad

It is worth noting that five of the last six meetings have landed fewer than three goals and in two of the meetings have resulted in both teams scoring. On the prices, over 2.5 goals is best 4/6 implying a 60% chance of landing. Both teams to score is short at just 4/7, but representative on the over 2.5 goal chance is looking to be a backer’s market.

Looking at potential goal scorers in the game, Kane is as short as 8/11 to net in the game, which he did in the December reverse fixture. Son is no bigger than 6/5 also for his name on the scoresheet.

Arsenal in some respects were BIG at 3/1 on Thursday, eased into 27/10 to cause the derby away win and were a smidgen under evens at 28/29 with BetVictor not to lose the game, with various identical markets offering no better than 19/20. Had this price still been live going to press it would have been taken, although 11/13 is the best price available now.

I like the bet builder on Bet365 playing a little safer as a side bet, and have taken over 3.5 corners for Arsenal and over 1.5 goals in the game at 8/11, which some punters may see as skinny. Just one of the last six have had fewer than two goals in the game. Arsenal netted five corners in their last league meeting also and got a bag full of corners in midweek if you do not fancy the main tip.

A nice 9/4 bet says and staying with corners that each team hit 2 or more corners in both halves with William Hill, which seems over priced as a cheeky one-point punt, which would have won in their last league encounter in December.

Recommended Bets

  • 1pt – Both sides over 1 corner in each half – 9/4 (William Hill)