Uruguay v France Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 6th July

  • 5th July 2018
Uruguay v France Betting Preview, Odds & Tips 6th July

Tom Love (@TomLove_18) previews Uruguay v France and provides us with his best bets for Friday’s World Cup clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, stats and facts and more.

Uruguay v France Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 06/07/18
  • Time: 15:00pm
  • Venue: Nizhny Novgorod Stadium
  • Channel: ITV

The opening quarter final sees France take on Uruguay after they got past Argentina and Portugal respectively. France ran out eventual 4-3 winners against Argentina in a Kylian Mbappe inspired performance. However it did highlight their defensive frailties. Mbappe was immense and received a 9.77/10 rating by whoscored.com with 2 goals and 7 successful dribbles. He will have to reproduce that level of quality to break down a stubborn Uruguay backline.

Interestingly, there will be strikers coming up against centre halves they know all too well. Antoine Griezmann will have to pit his wits against his Atlético Madrid teammates Diego Godín and Jose Giménez whereas Luis Suarez will be up against his Barcelona companion Samuel Umtiti. These individual battles will provide great interest for those watching.

I think the difference between these two is one team relying on individual brilliance in France and one team that has more of a holistic club mentality in Uruguay. When looking through the prices for this game I feel France are too short at a smidgen over even-money and I’d happily lay them just because I have more faith in Uruguay and defensively they’re excellent. In knockout games when there is so much at stake the draw becomes a big runner purely because sides are naturally more risk averse in their mentality, it’s more of a ‘must not lose’ outlook than a ‘must win’.

France have more quality overall but Uruguay have more solidarity and are better versed in the dark arts. Didier Deschamps does worry me as a manager too whereas the vastly experienced Óscar Washington Taberez makes sure all his players are singing from the same hymn sheet.

Team News

It is still not known if Edison Cavani will return for La Celeste, it’s a touch and go situation and would be a blow for the South Americans if he doesn’t make it. If Cavani doesn’t start one of Christian Stuani or Maxi Gómez is likely to come in. Jose Giménez is back fit and likely to resume his partnership at centre half with Godín.

France have no fresh injury worries and likely to name an unchanged side.

Potential Uruguay Starting XI: Muslera, Cáceres, Godín, Giminez, Laxalt, Nandez, Torreira, Vecino, Bentancur, Suárez, Cavani (Gómez/Stuani)

Potential France Starting XI: Lloris, Pavard, Umtiti, Varane, Hernández, Kante, Pogba, Matuidi, Griezmann, Mbappe, Giroud.

Head To Head

It tends to be very tight when these two meet. Amazingly 4 of the 6 meetings ended goalless, with Uruguay winning 1-0 and 2-1 in the others.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Uruguay have won their last 7 games straight.
  • These two teams failed to score against each other in 360 consecutive minutes.
  • Of the teams left in the competition, Uruguay have the best defensive record along with Brazil, conceding just one goal.

Betting Odds

  • Uruguay – 18/5
  • Draw – 9/4
  • France – 21/20

The Verdict

France make little appeal in the 90 minutes market at the prices, so I’m going to take them on. We can get 9/10 on Uruguay with a +0.5 start on the asian handicap and that looks a good way in, if France fail to win in 90 minutes this bet lands.

I’m also going to have a punt in a market I rarely see priced up and that’s the official man of the match market. Naturally the attacking players are the shortest prices but what they take out of the market leaves the defenders at big odds. Uruguay’s defensive discipline has been there for all to see and if they continue to keep it tight and keep a clean sheet, something they’ve done in 5/6 meetings with France then it could easily go to a defender. Should this happen, the leader of this team Diego Godín will be key and I was surprised to see him as big as 25/1 to bag the MOTM award for this game. He’s used to the big game occasion and is likely to get lots of praise if he can keep a lid on a France attack that scored 4 last time out, I think he’s capable of doing so.

Recommended Bets

  • Uruguay +0.5 asian handicap – 9/10 (bet365)
  • Diego Godín to win the Man of the Match award – 25/1 (bet365)