Young Boys v Man Utd Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 19th September
Sam Langston (@Samlan98) previews Young Boys v Man United and provides us with his best bets for Wednesday’s Champions League clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
Young Boys v Man United Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 19/09/2018
- Time: 20:00
- Venue: Stade de Suisse
- Channel: BT Sport
Man United begin their European campaign this Wednesday with a trip to Switzerland to face domestic dominators Young Boys. This is the first time that the Bern natives have qualified for the Champions League group stage, after they blitzed last season’s Swiss top tier to win the division by a mammoth 15 points margin.
Since then, title-winning gaffer Adi Hütter has left for Frankfurt and been replaced by Gerardo Seoane. The ex-Luzern boss has overseen a seamless transition, having won all six of his Super League fixtures and nine of ten competitive match-ups. This includes a 3-2 aggregate victory versus Dinamo Zagreb to earn a spot in Europe at the Croatian club’s expense.
Domestically, Young Boys have been ruthless so far this season, netting 2.88 strikes on average per-game. Based on early season shots on target data, they boast the most efficient attack in Switzerland’s first division, converting 19 out of 37 attempts on goal at an exceptional rate of 51.32%. Whether this potency can be replicated against elite opposition is questionable, especially with veteran forward Guillaume Hoarau likely to be relied on for goals, however this useful outfit should not be underestimated when their domestic superiority is taken into consideration.
Conversely, despite back-to-back wins at Burnley and Watford, Man United have failed to convince fully this term. Jose Mourinho’s top transfer priority was to sign a world-class centre-half over the summer and failure to do is proving costly so far, with his side managing just one clean sheet against the toothless Clarets in their opening five Premier League fixtures.
For me, it is no surprise to see The Red Devils struggling for consistency, as they were incredibly fortuitous to finish second last term – xPoints data suggests that Mourinho’s men were the top flight’s biggest overachievers and should have finished sixth, based on performance. Excluding Fred, their current squad contains the same players as last season, so their sub-par showings should not be a shock to anyone.
Under Mourinho, United have already lost in Switzerland to Basel, so a win this Wednesday is not a guarantee. They clearly possess the superior quality to Young Boys, but I am reluctant to back the visitors at odds-on here. Being their first ever Champions League group stage game, and with the sold out Stade de Suisse behind them, we can expect the hosts to be well up for their Group H opener, providing The Red Devils with a competitive match-up. Another aspect that favours Young Boys is the artificial surface that the game will be played on, so combine each of these factors with the form of both sides, then United may be tested more than most expect.
Young Boys are likely to set up in a 4-4-2 formation. Former Newcastle United defender Kevin Mbabu is set feature for the hosts at left-back.
Luke Shaw is expected to return to Jose Mourinho’s starting line-up, after recovering from a head injury suffered whilst on international duty.
Potential Young Boys Starting XI: von Ballmoos, Benito, von Bergen, Camara, Mbabu, Ngamaleu, Sanogo, Sow, Fassnacht, Assalé, Hoarau.
Potential Man United Starting XI: De Gea, Shaw, Lindelöf, Smalling, Valencia, Matić, Fred, Pogba, Sánchez, Rashford, Lukaku.
Head To Head
- This will be the first meeting between the sides.
Key Stats & Facts
- Young Boys are unbeaten in their last 18 competitive home fixtures (W15, D3).
- Romelu Lukaku has scored seven goals in his previous five appearances for both club and country. The in-form Belgian is best priced at 5/4 with Ladbrokes to bag a goal anytime in Bern.
- Young Boys – 17/4
- Draw – 3/1
- Man United – 3/4
My interest in this fixture lies within the cards market. Overseeing this tie is Deniz Aytekin, a card happy customer both domestically and internationally – the German official has dished out 77 bookings in just 16 Champions League clashes, averaging 4.81 per-game. He certainly fits the bill for a few players to be disciplined and one player in particular catches my eye for a caution.
Young Boys midfielder Sékou Sanogo has been cautioned in seven of his 11 appearances this term. The Ivorian has featured 27 times in Europe for his current club and has been shown a card in 10 of these fixtures. He will be battling against Paul Pogba in the middle of the park, who has been fouled on more occasions than any Man United player this season, so a testing night can be expected on Sanogo’s part and with this in mind, I am happy to chance that he receives a booking.