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Football World Cup 2018 - A Data-Driven Simulation

Tips, Predictions and Odds for the 2018 World Cup in Russia

KickForm calculated predictions for the entire World Cup tournament 100,000 times in a complex simulation using the KickForm Football Formula. Probabilities for victory, draw and defeat were calculated for all 64 games, from the Group Stage to the Final, along with the chances of reaching the final rounds and winning the World Cup title for each team.

The Complete 2018 World Cup Predictions

Final *

Prediction champion


* Die Prognosen stellen das Spielergebnis nach 90 Minuten plus eventueller Verlängerung vor dem Elfmeterschiessen dar. In der Prognose kommt bei einem Unentschieden das Team mit der höheren Leistungsstärke weiter.

KickForm is a mathematical algorithm for predicting football matches. The goal is to calculate the world's most accurate prediction of football matches based on relevant metrics. Prof. Heuer from the University of Münster has outlined certain parameters which correlate with the prediction of football matches and the result obtained. The deciding factor here is the performance of a team composed of different variables, e.g. scoring, possession, market value, match day or Home advantage. For our 2018 World Cup simulation, we used the World Football Elo Ratings as the basis for the teams' performances.

About the KickForm Football Formula

KickForm is a mathematical algorithm used to predict football matches. It is our goal to provide the world's most accurate prediction of football matches based on scientific evidence and statistical metrics.