No human can predict how a football match will end with complete certainty. This is just one of the many reasons why this sport is so enthralling, and exactly why it is such enormous fun to analyse matches or to place a bet. The combined expertise of Professor Heuer and the rest of the team have created a way of arriving at accurate conclusions from statistics and of learning to understand phenomenons such as streaks in Home games and how long football managers last in their respective roles.
Getting to the Core
Andreas Heuer is the Professor for Physical Chemistry at the University of Münster (Germany), and an expert in the theory of Complex Systems. Is the course of a tournament predictable? Does a change of manager make sense? What impact does the factor of chance have? Heuer has dedicated himself to these big football questions for quite some time, and has been working at solving them with the help of science. The findings of his studies can not only be found in his book „Der perfekte Tip“ (“The Perfect Bet”) but now also on KickForm.com.
Despite the proven usefulness of purely mathematical analyses, many football fans are understandably very knowledgeable themselves about the sport, and sometimes even base their hunches or predictions of a match on gut instinct. In the end, every fan has their own way of predicting what will happen in a game. A definitive football formula that works for absolutely everyone does not exist; this why KickForm allows football fans to create their own formula themselves.
Julia Benzing, a sports statistician from the Technical University of Dortmund, is one of the most vital members of the KickForm team. When she is not developing algorithms for KickForm, Julia Benzig is grappling with questions such as “Do the achievements of Borussia Dortmund have an impact on the quantity and quality of freshman at the Technical University of Dortmund?” as well as other interesting topics. In fact, her Master’s thesis tackled the relationship between football predictions and statistics (“Statistical Methods for the Prediction of Football Matches”).
Johannes is a student of mathematics at the Free University Berlin (Freie Universität Berlin) and a football statistics enthusiast; his Bachelor’s thesis (entitled “The Optimal Football Bet”) was an intensive study of football betting. His theoretical calculations for a precise-as-possible estimation of betting events’ probability, as well how to place the optimal wager for the maximisation of capital at the lowest possible risk, are also put into practice at KickForm. Johannes utilised KickForm’s Football Formula with the Kelly Criterion against historical odds of eight years. At the end of this simulation, there was, on average, more than a doubling of capital per season.
When Johannes is not working on the mathematics of football, he likes to play the piano or chess, or pursue his passion for ball games on the basketball court.