It’s been a while, but our man and football fanatic Chris Millas (@ChrisMMillas) is back to provide us with a Dual Forecast tip for the 2018/2019 Premier League season.
2018/2019 Premier League Dual Forecast Betting Tips
The 2018/2019 Premier League season is around the corner and there’s one market that has gained my attention – that being the Dual Forecast market.
To save us all time and for the sake of this article, I’m going to focus solely on the ‘big 6’.
After a fairly disappointing first season under Pep Guardiola, The Citizens put together an incredible run last campaign that helped them race to a third Premier League title in 7 years.
With a squad with an average age of just 25, and the addition of Riyad Mahrez, you’d like to think this side will only get even better, which is a scary thought in itself.
The defending champions are the team to beat, and for as long as Guardiola is in charge, I think everyone else may have their work cut out. At odds of around 8/13, they are too short for me to back outright however.
Admittedly, Mourinho guided Utd to their best finish last term since the retirement of Sir Alex Ferguson, ending as runners up.
Despite that, something hasn’t seemed right with ‘The Special One' and his relationship with the club. His public criticism of a number of players may be a sign he’s feeling the pressure while the fans seem to be getting bored of his constant antics and lack of attractive football.
Indeed, the new season hasn’t even started yet and already Mourinho has begun complaining. In a number of bizarre quotes, one read: “Pre-season is very bad, I have to say that. Everything is really bad. Then we go to the UK and we have to play Premier League. I’m worried. I have to be worried.” Not really what you want to be hearing if you’re a Man Utd fan, or player for that matter.
In addition, the departure of Rui Faria over the summer, who has worked with Mourinho for 17 years, cannot be underestimated. He was fundamental to managing the mood of camps as well as being a key sounding board and will be sorely missed.
I also question whether Mourinho’s 3 signings (as of the time of writing) so far this summer, in Diogo Dalot, Fred and Lee grant(?), are enough for his side to go one step further and claim their first title in 6 years.
Furthermore, traditionally, Mourinho doesn’t seem to do well in his third season, (as highlighted in his previous spells at Chelsea and Real Madrid) which some people like to refer to as the ‘third season syndrome’, and it wouldn’t surprise me if we saw another collapse this year.
I’m a big fan of Mauricio Pochettino and the work he has done since taking the reigns at Spurs. The Argentinian has got his side playing eye-catching football and his relationship with the fans and players is admirable.
However, for me, Spurs are in need of one, maybe two signature signings if they are to be considered as serious title challengers, which doesn’t look likely, particularly with the recent investment in the new stadium.
But for some good late incomings, Pochettino’s first piece of silverware in England will likely have to come elsewhere, at least this term.
Antonio Conte lead Chelsea to the title just two seasons ago, but followed that up with a 5th place finish, which ultimately lead to his recent dismissal.
Napoli’s Maurizio Sarri has since been bought in as Conte’s replacement.
I’m a huge advocate of the Italian, who masterminded Napoli’s 2nd place finish last season, just 4 points behind winners Juventus. For me, Sarri overachieved with the resources he had at his disposal.
As with most managers who come to England however, it would be fair to assume it may take Sarri a season or so to adapt to the Premier League and for the players to adapt to his playing style, particularly after watching their performance in the Community Shield against Man City.
With that in mind, I’m happy to rule them out of this season’s title race.
After 22 years, Arsene Wenger finally parted ways with Arsenal in May, paving the way for a new era at The Emirates.
New manager Unai Emery, who won an unprecedented 3 successive Europa League titles at ex-club Sevilla, will bring fresh ideas and new impetuous to the club and I expect The Gunners to be much more competitive under his leadership.
The Spaniard has already made a number of shrewd buys in the summer transfer window including the likes of goalkeeper Bernd Leno, experienced defenders Stephan Lichtsteiner and Sokratis Papastathopoulos as well as the very impressive and young defensive midfielder Lucas Torreira.
That said, a title challenge may be too big of an ask, particularly in Emery's first season and with the overall squad of players he currently has at his disposal, so I won’t be considering Arsenal as title contenders.
That leaves the Kopites.
It’s no secret that Liverpool’s downfall over recent seasons has been defensively, but the capture of Vrigil van Dijk in January has already beared fruit, while new signings Naby Keita and Fabinho will offer much more solidity in midfield.
A stat I did find interesting which pointed to progress under Klopp was this from the brilliant Andrew Beasley.
“Jürgen Klopp’s team are improving too. Liverpool dropped 19 points after
scoring first in his first season, then 16 in 2016/17 and 12 last year.”
— Andrew Beasley (@BassTunedToRed) August 3, 2018
Youngsters Trent Alexander-Arnold and Andrew Robertson, who have already adhered themselves to Liverpool fans, will also have a full season of Premier League football under their belts.
It’s another of Jurgen Klopp’s new additions, Alisson, that really got me excited about this side however. Liverpool have been crying out for a reliable goalkeeper for a number of years now, and the 25-year-old Brazilian, who didn’t make a single error leading to a goal in league or European competition last season, might just be the missing piece of the jigsaw.
Meanwhile, Xherdan Shaqiri seems to have settled in instantly during pre-season, scoring a spectacular over-head-kick on his debut to cap an impressive performance against Man Utd. If Klopp can get the best out of the Swiss man, he could have a big impact.
Liverpool’s transfer business this summer has shown huge intent and I believe they now have the quality and depth all over the pitch to mount a serious title challenge. There are no excuses for Klopp now, he must deliver, and with the fans fully behind him, I believe he will.
Taking all of the above into consideration, there are two teams that stick out to me (if you haven’t already guessed) – Man City and Liverpool, and at 5/2 I’m happy to back the dual forecast.
For those unfamiliar with this market, we’re predicting which teams will finish in the top 2, in any order.
Stat: Bookies make Man City and Liverpool 1st and 2nd favourites respectively for the title this season. Interestingly, in 3 of the last 6 seasons, the 2 teams at the top of the Premier League outright betting market did indeed go on to finish in the top 2.