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The Football World Champion of 2022 (Updated: 19.11.2022)

Statistical Probabilities for Every Team Competing in the FIFA World Cup 2022

Team / Probability in % 1/8-Final 1/4-Final 1/2-Final Final Winner
Brazil 100 94 71 61 41
Argentina 88 71 52 38 22
Spain 88 75 31 20 10
Portugal 94 56 34 15 6
Netherlands 74 52 24 14 6
Germany 97 74 32 13 5
Denmark 76 35 21 8 3
England 98 50 20 7 2
France 34 21 14 5 2
Mexico 100 46 22 3 1
Serbia 58 24 11 3 1
Ecuador 83 41 19 3 1
Switzerland 40 19 9 3 1
Japan 15 8 2 0 0
Morocco 97 19 3 0 0
Canada 100 23 5 1 0
Uruguay 0 0 0 0 0
Tunisia 0 0 0 0 0
Korea Republic 35 7 2 0 0
Senegal 22 6 2 0 0
Saudi Arabia 5 1 0 0 0
Croatia 3 1 0 0 0
IR Iran 65 30 12 2 0
Wales 3 1 0 0 0
Costa Rica 0 0 0 0 0
Poland 7 3 1 0 0
Australia 90 23 7 1 0
Ghana 70 0 0 0 0
Belgium 0 0 0 0 0
Cameroon 2 0 0 0 0
United States 35 15 6 1 0
Qatar 21 4 0 0 0

KickForm is a mathematical algorithm for predicting football matches. The goal is to calculate the world's most accurate prediction of football matches based on relevant metrics. Prof. Heuer from the University of Münster has outlined certain parameters that have a strong correlation with the prediction of football matches and the final results. The deciding factor here is the performance of a team composed of different variables, e.g. scoring, possession, market value, match day or Home advantage. For our 2018 World Cup simulation, we used the World Football Elo Ratings as a basis for each team's performance. 

About the KickForm football formula

KickForm is a mathematical algorithm used to predict football matches. It is our goal to provide the world's most accurate prediction of football matches based on scientific evidence and statistical metrics.