The winter break is over and the Bundesliga returns for 2026. Matchday 16 once again delivers plenty of value-based betting opportunities, identified by our dedicated stats hub Kickform. As always, every fixture and price has been analysed in detail. Let’s get started!
As well as checking all of the important stats, we have also searched through some of the best online bookies to bring you the most value from our three-fold acca. At the time of writing, our three selections come to a tasty price of 13/1.
| Fixture | Selection | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| St Pauli vs RB Leipzig | RB Leipzig to win | 9/10 (Betfred) |
| Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart | Bayer Leverkusen to win | 19/20 (Betfred) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach vs Augsburg | Augsburg to win | 3/1 (Betfred) |
*Odds correct as of 16:00 GMT on 08/01/2026. Odds subject to change
Bet 1: RB Leipzig to Win at St Pauli
St Pauli have shown slight signs of stabilisation recently and have managed to pick up points, but the overall impression remains cautious.
RB Leipzig, despite their most recent defeat, are still in very strong shape in the Bundesliga. They are enjoying an excellent season and continue to look consistent.
Our numbers produce a small lean towards Leipzig. The market has already started to move in that direction, with prices shortening slightly. Even so, we’re sticking with Leipzig to get the job done.
There is also a very slight lean towards the goals market. While St Pauli may initially suggest a low-scoring match, Leipzig are the decisive factor here having scored 30 goals across their 15 league matches so far.
Stats: St Pauli vs RB Leipzig predictions
Bet 2: Bayer Leverkusen to Beat VfB Stuttgart
Saturday night brings a genuine headline clash. Bayer Leverkusen against VfB Stuttgart is a match with great intrigue, regardless of betting interest. Neither side has been fully convincing recently, but neither has been poor either.
According to our numbers, there is a slight indication towards Leverkusen. Performance metrics are not particularly strong for either team. Stuttgart rate marginally positive, Leverkusen marginally negative, a familiar pattern. The market has partially adjusted, with the price on Leverkusen already shortening.
Stats: Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart predictions
Bet 3: Augsburg to Win Away at Borussia Monchengladbach
This fixture presents a very typical setup for us. Augsburg rate clearly positive in performance terms, while Gladbach remain negative despite posting respectable results in recent times. This exact combination regularly leads us towards the away side.
The league table does not yet reflect this imbalance, but that is precisely the point of the assessment – it creates an opportunity to back Augsburg. Confidence is naturally limited given the run of form, but the deviation from fair odds is significant enough to justify the bet.
