Europa League action is heating up as we approach second-leg games in the playoff round. There is still a lot of value in the outright winner market, with Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest flying the flag for the Premier League. Here, we take a closer look at the outrights and see where the value lies.
Current Europa League Winner Odds: The Favourites
| Team | Latest Odds (Bookmaker) |
|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 11/4 (QuinnBet) |
| AS Roma | 7/1 (Betway) |
| Olympique Lyon | 9/1 (Betway) |
| FC Porto | 9/1 (Betway) |
| Nottingham Forest | 11/1 (Betway) |
Aston Villa the big favourite to win the 2026 Europa League
Aston Villa haven't won an international title in over 40 years, yet some of the best online bookmakers have them as clear favourites for the Europa League in 2025/26. That, however, shouldn't come as a surprise considering the Premier League outfit boast the second-highest squad market value in the competition.
Unai Emery's men finished second in the league phase of the Europa League, and the team are also going strong domestically, currently sitting in the Premier League's top three.
Although the knockout stage hasn’t even started for the Villans, the implied probability of a trophy win stands at over 25% . Yet only one English team has won it in the past six years.
Will AS Roma meet expectations this season?
In the last five years, AS Roma reached the semi-finals three times in the Europa League, with the Italians even making the final once. All the more disappointing was last year, when Roma missed direct qualification for the last 16 and fell in the play-off round to Athletic Bilbao.
After another stuttering start, they've made the top eight this season, and the current outright odds have them as second-favourites. We doubt their current form – just two defeats in the last ten games – will hold up long-term.
Depending on the path, AS Roma face a quarter-final clash with table-toppers Lyon or Aston Villa . They could also meet league rivals Bologna as early as the round of 16 – a side they have beaten in just one of the last six head-to-heads.
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Europa League Winner Forecast: Table-Toppers Only Joint Favourites
With seven wins from eight games and a superior goal difference , Olympique Lyon secured top spot in the league phase. Despite this, the latest Europa League winner odds imply just an 11.1% chance for the French side.
The French played 50% of the group matches against the six worst teams in the final table . What's more, in six of the eight games, they faced opponents who were directly eliminated.
Against the top clubs in the Europa League, captain Corentin Tolisso and co still need to prove themselves. The previous season showed they can challenge even the biggest names, with OL losing the quarter-final to Manchester United literally in the last minute.
Europa League Winner Tips: FC Porto Between Secret Favourite and Flop
Since winning the Europa League in 2011, FC Porto have entered the competition six more times. Their best run during this time was reaching a quarter-final, which is not that impressive for a club of their size.
On the other hand, the club have looked dangerous on the domestic scene, with Porto are on course for the title after picking up 20 wins from 23 matches.
When it comes to their European campaign, the only real top match against Nottingham Forest was lost 2-0. Moreover, much for Porto depends on the draw.
