Eight nations are left, and just four spots in the 2026 World Cup are up for grabs. It’s business time on 31 March 2026, folks, and we’re looking ahead to the final knockout stage of the European qualifying section to see where the value lies across these final four games.
None of the three home nations – Ireland, Wales and Northern Ireland – managed to progress last week, which is disappointing to say the least. Italy, Denmark, Turkey and Sweden head into their respective games as favourites, but the betting is relatively close in each of those games, and on paper, they look tough ties.
World Cup Qualifiers Acca Tips – 12.25/1
BetVictor, one of our best betting sites, are easily the top price for this World Cup qualifier play-off 3-fold, paying out at odds of 12.25/1. To put this into context, if you were to place a £10 stake with bet365, you would get £31.23 LESS than betting at BetVictor.
| Game | Bet | BetVictor Odds | bet365 odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Italy vs Bosnia | Moise Keane 2+ shots on target | 11/5 | 11/8 |
| Kosovo vs Turkey | Turkey to win | 4/5 | 17/20 |
| Sweden vs Poland | Viktor Gyokeres to score | 13/10 | 13/10 |
| Total Odds | 12.25/1 | 9.13/1 |
*Odds correct at 11:00 GMT on 30/3/2026. Odds subject to change.
No Expiry Date
Bet 1: Italy vs Bosnia Betting Predictions – Moise Keane 2+ Shot on Target
Italy cruised past Northern Ireland last Thursday to reach the second knockout stage. Much of that was down to yet another dominant performance from the man leading the line, Moise Keane.
The Fiorentina forward has been in fine form throughout the qualifying campaign, with seven goals in five games. He’s struggled with injuries over the last few months, but there’s little doubt that, when fit, he’s a handful for any side.
He’s priced at a whopping 11/5 to have two or more shots on target on Tuesday, which looks superb value. Bosnia scraped past Wales and looked vulnerable at the back throughout. There’s a case to take Italy to win in normal time at 11/20, but it’s never a sure thing with the Italians as they look to make their first since 2014. As a result, Keane to have 2+ shots on target is the play.
Bet 2: Kosovo vs Turkey Odds – Turkey to Win
One of the markets that really caught our eye this week was Turkey to beat Kosovo at odds of 4/5. Vincenzo Montella is doing a fine job with an industrious group of players, and the 1-0 scoreline against Romania in the first round should really have been more.
They’ve lost just twice in 12 games across 2025 and will be tough to beat once again on Tuesday, even though they are playing away. They’re up to ninth in the UEFA coefficient rankings, some 27 places higher than Kosovo, which gives some context as to squad depth and quality.
Turkey to win at 4/5 is the second of our UEFA World Cup qualifying bets.
Bet 3: Sweden vs Poland Predictions and Tips– Vikto Gyokeres to Score
Sweden are somehow just one win away from making it into the World Cup. This is after failing to win any of their qualifying games and picking up just two points from a possible 18. Luckily, their performances in the Nations League, along with a string of results going their way, got them into the knockout stages, where they face a tough game against Poland on Tuesday night.
There’ll be a lot of punters looking at Poland’s 14/5 to win in regular time and having a little nibble. Truth be told, it would be tough to argue with them. But we’ve gone a different route here, and backed the in-form Viktor Gyokeres to score at 13/10.
He was superb last week, getting a hat-trick in Sweden’s 3-1 win over Ukraine. It feels like he’s starting to turn the corner domestically as well, with 12 goals since the start of 2026. Initially, we’d looked at 4/5 to score or assist, but we’ve amended that, opting for scoring only, given that he’s got just two assists from 42 games so far this season.
