The festivities and chaos that ensue over Thanksgiving week are behind us, and it’s time to focus on the push towards the playoffs. With just five games left, it’s make-or-break for a lot of franchises, but one thing that remains a constant is our NFL Week 14 sharp money report.
One of the biggest games of the week comes from Lambeau Field, where the Packers (8-3-1) take on the Bears (9-3), who refuse to lie down in the hunt for their first NFC North division title since 2018. AFC South also has a humdinger to look forward to, with the Colts (8-4) travelling to the Jaguars (8-4) and the winner getting a huge upper hand in their pursuit of a divisional title.
NFL Week 14 Public Betting and Sharp Money Cheat Sheet
We’ve got 14 games to look forward to this week, and all have been ranked and rated based on where the money lies. Don’t forget to check out the best NFL betting sites for the latest promos and offers for the week.
| Game | Bets % / Money % | Public vs Sharps | Line Movement | Best Play | Confidence | RLM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys @ Lions | DAL: 81 / 90 DET: 19 / 10 | Consensus: DAL | Open: DET -6 Current: DET -3 | Lions -3 | 5.5 (Medium) | No |
| Dolphins @ Jets | MIA: 70 / 68 NYJ: 30 / 32 | Consensus: MIA | Open: MIA -2 Current: MIA -2.5 | Jets +2.5 | 6.0 (Medium–Strong) | No |
| Steelers @ Ravens | PIT: 59 / 45 BAL: 41 / 55 | Public: PIT Sharps: BAL | Open: BAL -8 Current: BAL -5.5 | Ravens -5.5 | 6.0 (Medium–Strong) | No |
| Colts @ Jaguars | IND: 57 / 65 JAX: 43 / 35 | Consensus: IND | Open: JAX -0.5 Current: IND -1.5 | Jaguars +1.5 | 5.0 (Medium) | No |
| Saints @ Buccaneers | NO: 39 / 25 TB: 61 / 75 | Consensus: TB | Open: TB -9 Current: TB -8.5 | Saints +8.5 | 7.0 (Strong) | Yes |
| Commanders @ Vikings | WAS: 78 / 56 MIN: 22 / 44 | Consensus: WAS | Open: MIN -0.5 Current: WAS -1.5 | Vikings +1.5 | 6.0 (Medium–Strong) | No |
| Seahawks @ Falcons | SEA: 78 / 87 ATL: 22 / 13 | Consensus: SEA | Open: SEA -7.5 Current: SEA -7.5 | Falcons +7.5 | 6.0 (Medium–Strong) | No |
| Bengals @ Bills | CIN: 68 / 71 BUF: 32 / 29 | Consensus: CIN | Open: BUF -6.5 Current: BUF -5.5 | Bills -5.5 | 6.0 (Medium–Strong) | No |
| Titans @ Browns | TEN: 44 / 44 CLE: 56 / 56 | Consensus: CLE | Open: CLE -4.5 Current: CLE -3.5 | Titans +3.5 | 7.0 (Strong) | Yes |
| Broncos @ Raiders | DEN: 76 / 66 LV: 24 / 34 | Consensus: DEN | Open: DEN -6 Current: DEN -7.5 | Raiders +7.5 | 6.0 (Medium–Strong) | No |
| Bears @ Packers | CHI: 85 / 79 GB: 15 / 21 | Consensus: CHI | Open: GB -3.5 Current: GB -6.5 | Packers -6.5 | 7.5 (Strong) | Yes |
| Rams @ Cardinals | LAR: 73 / 78 ARI: 27 / 22 | Consensus: LAR | Open: LAR -5 Current: LAR -8.5 | Cardinals +8.5 | 5.5 (Medium) | No |
| Texans @ Chiefs | HOU: 69 / 80 KC: 31 / 20 | Consensus: HOU | Open: KC -6 Current: KC -3.5 | Chiefs -3.5 | 6.0 (Medium–Strong) | No |
| Eagles @ Chargers | PHI: 62 / 62 LAC: 38 / 38 | Consensus: PHI | Open: PHI -2.5 Current: PHI -3 | Chargers +3 | 5.5 (Medium) | No |
Best NFL Value Predictions for Week 14 – Top Picks
The top three picks for Week 14 are all big movers in terms of reverse line movement (RLM). We’ve scored these well over the last few game weeks and even though we’ve got some big lines to cover, these are three more strong picks.
| Game | Public vs Sharps | Best Play | Confidence | RLM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bears @ Packers | Consensus: CHI | Packers -6.5 | 7.5 (Strong) | Yes |
| Saints @ Buccaneers | Consensus: TB | Saints +8.5 | 7.0 (Strong) | Yes |
| Titans @ Browns | Consensus: CLE | Titans +3.5 | 7.0 (Strong) | Yes |
NFL Predictions for Week 14 – 7.0+ Confidence Rating
What a cracker this is set to be at Lambeau Field. The Bears just keep getting results, and the public is buying in. Even though the volume and total money staked have both been with the Bears, the line on the Packers has seen reverse movement, shifting from -3.5 to -6.5. As long as this number stays under the key-point mark of 7, we are giving this a strong 7.5 confidence rating.
There’s not a huge shift for the Saints at the Buccs, but enough there to get excited about. The Saints have been, for the most part, dreadful this year. However, this market is really interesting. Despite the consensus being with the Buccs, the Saints have been trimmed from +9 to +8.5. It’s a big spread, and one the numbers suggest is the play here.
The public's support for the Browns hasn’t been enough to see their line march from -4.5 to -3.5. Sharper money is with the Titans and that makes us want to follow suit. It’s a great line to take, meaning we get wins in close games separated by a field goal.
2025 NFL Sharp Money Season Results
We log every week's results for full transparency. Granted, a poor week last week, but overall, our season numbers are still strong. Here’s to a bounce-back for Week 14.
| Week | Games | Best | Wins | Losses | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 73.33 |
| 3 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 46.67 |
| 4 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 41.67 |
| 5 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 61.54 |
| 6 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 46.15 |
| 7 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 61.54 |
| 8 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 61.54 |
| 9 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 69.23 |
| 10 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 57.14 |
| 11 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 53.33 |
| 12 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 76.92 |
| 13 | 16 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 43.75 |
| Total | 177 | 165 | 95 | 70 | 57.58 |
