We’re closing in on a delightful dozen of Premier League matchdays, which means the starting gates are long behind us. Yet, somehow, the bookies haven’t learned a thing. They’ve got who’s going up upside down and who’s going down the wrong way round and that means there’s still heaps of value left in the outrights. Get in early before the odds catch up.
| Market | Odds | Return on £10 |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds to be Relegated | 13/8 | £26.25 |
| Wolves to be Relegated | 1/8 | £11.25 |
| Manchester City to Win the Premier League | 9/4 | £32.50 |
| Arsenal To Win the Premier League | 8/13 | £16.15 |
*Odds correct as of 11:35pm 11/11/2025
Leeds To Be Relegated – Best Value
This one hurts. It really does. But looking at their current form, 13/8 on Leeds United to be relegated looks like cracking value. Put it this way, if not for that single win over West Ham, they’d be propping up the table right now. They’ve been playing worse than most of the other strugglers, and honestly, sitting through that Nottingham Forest match should qualify as cruel and unusual punishment in most civilised societies. So much so, they’re on the lookout for a new manager after Farke got the boot.
Now, Leeds are a proper seesaw side, we’re sure they’ll have the odd bounce-back game, but in terms of teams most likely to drop, there’s only one or two with a higher chance. None, though, offer better value.
Wolves to be Relegated – Most Likely
Wolves fans must be howling at the moon for the heady days of 2019, when they were freshly promoted and looked like a side ready to take on the world. Since then, it’s been a steady slide down the ladder to the pit they’re now desperately trying to claw their way out of.
Eleven games, nine losses, and not a single win to show for it. You can point fingers all day; poor management under Vitor Pereira, the post-sacking scramble that left them looking like a ship adrift without a captain, the failure to win possession (a miserable 21%–33% success rate), a paper-thin defence, and an attack blunter than a butter knife despite the graft from Larsen and Lopez. But when you strip it all back, it’s simple: Wolves just can’t get the job done when it matters. And unless they find their bite soon, they’ll be back roaming the Championship before you know it.
Manchester City to Win the Premier League – Best Value
At the start of the season it seemed so likely that Liverpool were going to walk through the competition like they were training cones and successfully defend their title. It’s still not impossible, we suppose, but their chances look vanishingly small to us. That leaves Chelsea, Arsenal and Man City. And frankly, Chelsea seem too inconsistent to win the top-flight right now. Nothing’s impossible, Leeds could win the Champions League next year and we could all get jetpacks for Christmas, but we wouldn’t count on it.
But City feels like a real possibility. They’ve found their old groove again with big wins over Liverpool, Dortmund and Villarreal. In fact, if it weren’t for that shock slip-up against Villa at the end of October, they’d be looking at a 14-game unbeaten run, that’s proper champion form. And of course, they’ve still got one of the best squads in world football. Haaland’s a one-man goal machine, and with Marmoush, Foden and Cherki all chipping in, you’re looking at one of the most well-rounded attacks anywhere. We’d rank them just a touch below Arsenal in likelihood, which makes those 9/4 odds absolutely stupendous value.
Arsenal to Win the Premier League – Most Likely
Consistency wins the Premier League. You don't need our stats hub to see that. And no team has been able to out-gun The Gunners in that regard. They’ve only lost a single game this season, a 1-0 anomaly against defending champions Liverpool, otherwise we may be talking about outrights on them to match their 2003-2004 Invincibles season. That’s how tough they’ve been to beat.
Even with injuries taking out the likes of Havertz, Madueke and Odegaard for the moment, they’ve still got the reserves in their, ahem, Arsenal, from Trossard stepping up to Saka’s reliability to get the job done.
No Expiry Date
