Week 11 of Strictly sees us reach the quarter final stage of the competition with the final themed week of the series centered around musicals. Only five celebrities remain and, once again, serial survivor Balvinder Sopal is the favourite to be eliminated.
Strictly Odds Next Elimination – Week 11 2025: Musicals Week
Week 10 saw a familiar story play out. Balvinder Sopal was favourite to be eliminated, ended up in the dance-off and ended up surviving. The EastEnders actress can perform when the pressure is on and this, along with constant improvement throughout the series has impressed the judges. However, the standard is now high and despite her progress, Sopal is the clear favourite to be voted out this week. Check out the odds from the UK’s best bookmakers.
| Celebrity | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Balvinder Sopal | 2/9 | bet365 |
| Amber Davies | 5/1 | bet365 |
| George Clarke | 10/1 | bet365 |
| Lewis Cope | 16/1 | bet365 |
| Karen Carney | 33/1 | BetMGM |
Odds correct at 09:30 on 02/12/2025. Odds subject to change.
Balvinder Favourite to Go (Again) But is Amber Davies the Value Bet?
Last week we acknowledged that it would be no surprise to see Balvinder Sopal finally get the chop. Despite her improvement she was favourite to be eliminated for a reason. We did though highlight that her odds, which were again 2/9 last week, were far from attractive and that better value could be found. Sopal had survived four dance-offs; the pressure situation clearly suits her temperament better than some of her rivals, and we said the best value could be found with Alex Kingston or Amber Davies. And we were proved right when Kingston lost the dance-off.
This week we have no choice but to repeat ourselves. Sopal again looks to be an overwhelming favourite to be eliminated, and it would be no surprise to see the EastEnders star come a cropper in this West End-themed edition. However, Amber Davies is 5/1 at bet365, and we feel that this offers much greater value. Given the strength of the opposition and their popularity with the public, it would be no surprise to see Davies in the dance-off against Sopal, who clearly knows what to expect after five dance-off survivals.
If you are looking for an even bigger outsider, you may look towards George Clarke. He has been favourite to win for most of the series but seems to lack a bit of consistency. However, we feel that the levels reached by Clarke, Lewis Cope and the rapidly improving Karen Carney, along with their popularity with the viewers, mean that those three are very unlikely to depart at this stage.
Karen Carney has now emerged as favouite to win the series, ahead of George Clarke and Lewis Cope. For more information on wagering on this series, check out our guide to betting on Strictly Come Dancing.