Matchday 17 marks the last round of Premier League fixtures until Christmas. With a little help from Kickform, we’ve built a 5/1 acca for Saturday’s top-flight action.
Saturday’s Premier League Acca – Bournemouth Back to Form, City to Heap Pressure on Arsenal
Leaders Arsenal face a very tricky trip to Everton in one of two 8pm games. Before that, Man City could well have taken over at the top and we’re backing them to fly out of the traps.
Along with expected successes for Bournemouth and Brighton and another strong performance on the road from Crystal Palace, City can help us to a 5.1/1 acca win. Outstanding odds this time were provided by bet365, one of the best betting sites available.
| Game | Market | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth v Burnley | Bournemouth to win | 12/25 |
| Brighton v Sunderland | Brighton to win | 13/20 |
| Manchester City v West Ham | Man City HT/FT | 4/6 |
| Leeds v Crystal Palace | Crystal Palace or draw | 1/2 |
| Total Odds | 5.1/1 |
*Odds correct at 11:30 on 19/12/2025. Odds subject to change.
Bet 1: Bournemouth vs Burnley – Bournemouth to Win 12/25
The Cherries host Burnley in one of four 3pm kick-offs on Saturday in a match-up that looks ideal for them to fully get back on track. Their stats overall are impressive: 15 points at home in eight games versus only three for Burnley on the road. They have only scored 10 at home this campaign, however, just four of those goals have arrived in the first half.
Those figures may be a little skewed. A sticky patch has seen previously impressive Bournemouth now going seven games without a win. The last of that sequence though was a scintillating 4-4 draw at Old Trafford and now that they have their mojo back, they can get the job done.
Burnley bring to the table only one win in eight matches, that being against bottom side Wolves, while our Kickform ratings have the home side as a 74% chance and that’s hard to ignore.
Bet 2: Brighton vs Sunderland – Brighton to Win 13/20
The headline here is that Brighton are three points and a couple of places behind Sunderland, but home advantage could be significant on Saturday. The Seagulls already boast 15 points at the Amex to Sunderland’s eight on the road but probe deeper and there’s more info to glean.
Sunderland are capable of digging in and keeping it tight, but for how long? They have had the rub of the green in truth, yet again when beating a totally compliant Newcastle in a turgid Wear-Tyne derby last Sunday.
Given how Newcastle performed that day, Sunderland only beating them 1-0 via an own goal would be nothing at all to shout about had it not been for the occasion. How long can it go on? Not very long is the answer, and now Sunderland lose no fewer than six players to AFCON duty which we’ve factored in.
Brighton’s total xG at home this season is 13.86. Sunderland’s away from home, with those AFCON players, is just 5.45. Kickform has Brighton at 63%, but their chances are actually even higher.
Bet 3: Man City vs West Ham – Man City to Be Winning at Half Time and Full Time 4/6
Since their Leverkusen debacle, Pep Guardiola’s men have won six in a row including a success at Real Madrid. Now only two points behind Arsenal, they can positively taste top spot and will want to get this task finished early.
This game represents 35 points versus 13, with each team on totally different trajectories. At home, Man City have taken 21 points and scored 22 goals in just eight games. Away, the Hammers have managed seven points and scored nine times.
This has an air of inevitability about it and the match odds suggest that. City are scoring nearly three per game at home, with TEN goals in the first half at the Etihad in the league this season already.
In their last four at home, Man City’s aggregate half-time score is 7-1. In such a lopsided contest, it’s all about what the hosts are doing. They are winning, scoring goals and starting quickly. Backing them to gain a first-half lead and keep it is the smart and value play.
Bet 4: Leeds vs Crystal Palace – Palace or Draw 1/2
We have to wait a while for our last bet, Leeds entertaining Crystal Palace at 8pm. The Eagles may be struggling in the Conference League, but they are fully focused on the Premier League, in which they are a genuinely strong outfit.
Leeds too have been on the up, so with home advantage it’s not a surprise to see them as narrow favourites. The figures all disagree, however.
Leeds have amassed 12 points at home from eight games this term, while Palace have taken 16 from eight away matches. Oliver Glasner’s men in fact are the top travelling side in the Premier League thus far, with Kickform also weighing in and giving Palace a huge 69% chance, making a mockery of their odds. For context, Arsenal, 4/7 shots at Everton, have the same Kickform percentage.
We’d still like some insurance against a pumped-up and improving Leeds, so backing Palace to win or draw in the double-chance market is the way to go.
