It’s the opening weekend of the Premier League season. Sunday comes stacked with three cracking matches, and we’ve got a Premier League acca that is packed with value.
Chelsea could surprise a few this season. They ended up fourth in 2024/25, which was enough for a Champions League spot, and went on to win both the Conference League and Club World Cup to wrap a strong first season under Enzo Maresca.
Some bookies have them as short as 7/1 to win the league. This seems like a stretch, but they arguably have the best squad, so it wouldn’t be all that surprising to see them in the mix come May next year.
Forest are coming off the back of their best-ever Premier League campaign. They’ll play in the Europa League as a reward for their hard work – albeit controversially, thanks to Palace’s demotion to the Conference League – and will be looking to build and challenge for Europe again.
The game of the weekend is at Old Trafford, where Manchester United take on bitter rivals Arsenal. They are two clubs that have been on opposite trajectories over the last five years, but there is renewed optimism around United, which has spent big to try and retake its seat at the head of the Premier League table.
Today’s Premier League Acca Predictions
We’ve got a value-packed three-fold that’s paying out £49.28 for just a tenner staked. After comparing odds from all the best Premier League betting sites, we found that bet365 was best priced by almost 15%.
| Game | Market | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea vs Crystal Palace | Over 9.5 Match Corners | 4/7 |
| Nottingham Forest vs Brentford | BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals | 13/10 |
| Man United vs Arsenal | Arsenal Draw No Bet | 4/11 |
*Odds correct as of 10:00am 16/08/2025. Odds subject to change.
No Expiry Date
Chelsea vs Crystal Palace – Over 9.5 Match Corners – 4/7
Chelsea finished the 2024/25 season with the fourth-most corners won in the league (230), and we’ve had a good amount of success betting on the Blues with this market, so it makes sense to keep that trend running.
They averaged 6.22 corners won per game and conceded 3.68 corners per game, totalling 9.90. Palace’s average is slightly higher at 10.11 per game (4.43 won and 5.68 conceded). We don’t hate Chelsea on the corner handicap here, but we’re going a little more conservative with the over 9.5 match corner betting market, and here’s why.
Maresca has created a pretty fluid 3-2-5 with the ball, overloading the flanks and funnelling to wingers in wide zones. This increases the number of crosses, blocked shots and deflections. It doesn’t take José Mourinho to work out that this system lends itself to corners.
But it takes two to tango to get over the 9.5 mark, and Glasner’s Palace need to play their role. He employs an aggressive 3-4-2-1, again looking to utilise his wide players in the form of wing-backs Daniel Muñoz and Tyrick Mitchell.
They will not only bomb forward and cut inside (great for corners) but also sit deep when needed, creating a five-strong backline to negate Chelsea’s wide players. Think forced blocks and interceptions.
If we take the core metrics from 2024/25 alone, the numbers suggest an average of 10.1 corners in the match. But given how we’ve watched Chelsea evolve in the Club World Cup and Palace’s FA Community Shield win, the over 9.5 market looks vastly undervalued, even at odds of 4/7.
Nottingham Forest vs Brentford – BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals – 13/10
It’s been a turbulent summer for both Forest and Brentford. Forest have had to deal with multiple transfer sagas, none more newsworthy than losing star player Morgan Gibbs-White before a deal was pulled at the last minute, and owner Evangelos Marinakis launched a legal battle surrounding tapping up.
Brentford have lost manager Thomas Frank to Spurs, Bryan Mbeumo to Manchester United and look set to watch Yoane Wissa follow them both before the transfer window closes on 1 September.
The football stats will support our BTTS & Over 2.5 goals, but we’re backing our good friend, tactical volatility, to come good as well.
What on earth does that mean? Well, often when a club gets a new manager, they want to stamp their style on the team. But this takes time, and there will be cracks in the early games. Tactical volatility increases mistakes, and therefore markets like BTTS and total goals become loaded with value.
But the data still needs to support it, and that’s exactly what we’ve got here. Brentford’s games averaged 3.24 goals last season (66 GF, 57 GA) and Forest 2.74 (58 GF, 46 GA).
Across the last 20 head-to-heads, BTTS has landed in 65% of the games.
We are opposing the casual punter here, but the numbers stack up, and that’s why at 13/10 this is one of Sunday’s best Premier League picks in terms of value.
Manchester United vs Arsenal – Arsenal Draw No Bet – 4/11
Ruben Amorim has not been messing around this summer. They’ve spent north of £200 million on Benjamin Šeško, Bryan Mbeumo and Matheus Cunha, adding some much-needed firepower to a frontline that managed just 42 goals in 38 games in 2024/25.
Even with what looks on paper to be improvements to the starting XI, it’s a massive ask to think that they’ll get anything from the game against Arsenal. He admitted that he can’t “transform in four weeks”, and it’s this integration lag, plus a lack of defensive quality, that tilts the fixture in Arsenal's favour.
Arteta has been equally as busy at the Emirates. They finally sealed what looks to be a quality number nine in Viktor Gyökeres, along with Martín Zubimendi to shore up the midfield and Noni Madueke on the wing.
They had the best defence in the league in 2024/25, conceding just 34 goals and posting an impressive 9-8-2 record away from home. United, on the other hand, were fragile at best at Old Trafford (7-3-9), and it will take time to make the place a fortress again.
If you’re feeling a bit more adventurous, Arsenal to win on the 1X2 at 17/20 is the play. We want a little more security in the game, and even though 4/11 is short, there’s enough value in the Draw No Bet to make up the final part of our accumulator tips for Sunday’s Premier League games.
