Tottenham host Arsenal in one of the biggest North London derbies for years on Sunday, with huge ramifications at both ends of the table. Our bet builder tips are live, looking at where the value lies in what could be a season-defining game for the pair.
Igor Tudor takes charge of his first game for Tottenham, and few teams have needed that new manager bounce more than Spurs right now. They are flirting perilously close to the relegation zone and must start picking up points to avoid one of the biggest shock relegations in Premier League history.
For Arsenal, it feels very much like a script we’ve read before. Their stronghold at the other end of the table is relenting, and defeat at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium could see their lead at the top shrink to just two points if results elsewhere don’t go their way.
Tottenham vs Arsenal Betting Odds
For the latest odds and stats, check out the Tottenham vs Arsenal preview page over at Kickform.
Tottenham vs Arsenal Betting Tips
bet365 are one of very few bookies to tap into the player fouls drawn market, so they are our best bookie of choice today. It’s a good price of 4.8/1, meaning that for every £10 staked, you get £58 back. To put that into context, that’s £4.50 more per tenner than if you placed the same bet with Paddy Power.
| Market | Bet | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance | Tottenham or Draw | 7/5 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | 8/11 |
| Player Fouls Drawn | Xavi Simons Over 1.5 | 2/5 |
| Total Odds | 4.8/1 |
*Odds correct at 10:30 GMT on 21/2/2026. Odds subject to change.
No Expiry Date
Bet 1: Tottenham or Draw – Double Chance
Arsenal come into the game priced as short as 8/15, and it’s really tough to get excited about those odds right now. Their 2-2 draw to Wolves was the first time that a team at the top of the Premier League had failed to win after being two goals up against a team at the bottom.
It means that Mikel Arteta’s side have now picked up just 10 points from possible 21 in their last seven league games, opening the door to the chasing pack – most notably Manchester City – to exert immense pressure on Arteta to win his first Premier League title.
Tottenham are priced at a whopping 27/5 to win. Their form hasn’t been great, and they are still without a league win in 2026, but it still feels a big price in a derby game where form can go out the window somewhat.
They can take solace in the fact that Igor Tudor has won his first match in charge at each of his last five clubs (Hajduk Split, Hellas Verona, Marseille, Lazio and Juventus). While Tudor might not be a household name in England, his record on the continent is excellent, and he has significantly improved the points-per-game metric at each of those clubs. Something Spurs desperately need right now.
We can take a bit of cover in the double chance market, paying 7/5 for Spurs to win or draw. While the form guide is undoubtedly with Arsenal, in terms of pure value in a game where both teams are struggling, it looks a big price.
Bet 2: Over 2.5 Goals
The North London derby is typically a game that breeds goals. The over 2.5 goals has been covered in 10 of the last 13 meetings (77%), and what’s an interesting, yet massively influential factor here, is that both teams to score has landed in 69% of those 13 games as well. Generally, if you find the BTTS stats add up, the over 2.5 market tends to follow.
Numbers for the season suggest that odds of 8/11 are good enough to get involved with here as well. Spurs have covered in 65% of games and Arsenal 52%. We’re starting to see cracks in what was typically a reliable Arsenal back line, and conceding two against Wolves mid-week suggests that Spurs will notch here.
Bet 3: Xavi Simons – Over 1.5 Fouls Drawn
With so much on the line for both teams, this could turn into quite a feisty affair. We’ve instantly been drawn to the fouls market and more specifically, that of Tottenham’s attacking midfielder Xavi Simons.
Since the turn of the year, his fouls drawn stats have been through the roof, picking up 17 fouls in his last six at 2.83 per game, up from 1.21 in all Premier League games in 2025.
This market is all about matchups, and we’ve got a prime accomplice here in Martin Zubamendi for Arsenal. He’s about as cynical as they come in the middle of the park, and tends to get caught up in away atmospheres, being booked at Liverpool, Sunderland and Chelsea, plus three times in the Champions League.
His role on Sunday will be to get friendly with Simons, and we’re more than happy to take over 1.5 fouls drawn here from the Dutchman.
