The main event of UFC 322 promises to be one of the biggest fights of the year as Jack Della Maddalena defends his welterweight championship against dangerous challenger, Islam Makhachev. Here’s our take on the UFC 322 odds and the best betting tips for this high-stakes showdown.
Jack Della Maddalena vs Islam Makhachev: A Shock Setup at UFC 322
Despite entering the octagon as the defending champion, the best online bookies will tell you that Della Maddalena is the underdog ahead of UFC 322. The current market tells the story:
| Fighter | Odds | Returns from £10 |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Della Maddalena | 5/2 (Star Sports) | £35.00 |
| Islam Makhachev | 4/11 (BetVictor) | £13.64 |
*Odds correct as of 12:50 GMT on 14/11/2025. Odds subject to change
Jack Della Maddalena vs Islam Makhachev Fight Prediction
Makhachev’s dominance at lightweight has made him one of the pound-for-pound greats of his era. But stepping up to welterweight is a new challenge entirely, and at such short odds, the value may not sit with the Dagestani favourite.
Della Maddalena remains undefeated in the UFC, having captured the welterweight belt in May with a unanimous decision over Belal Muhammad. Despite his unbeaten streak, it’s tough to confidently back the champion here given Makhachev’s pedigree.
Makhachev is unbeaten in 15 straight UFC bouts, with wins over elite names like Charles Oliveira, Dustin Poirier and Alexander Volkanovski. However, he’s still largely untested at 170lbs considering his last welterweight appearance was all the way back in 2018, against Gleison Tibau.
Della Maddalena vs Islam Makhachev tips: Defending champ can take opponent to deep waters
| Will The Fight Go the Distance? | Odds | Returns From £10 |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 27/20 (bet365) | £23.50 |
| No | 4/6 (Sporting Index) | £16.67 |
Makhachev is a ruthless finisher, ending four of his last five title fights by KO or submission. On top of that, 60% of those came within two rounds.
His game plan will be to get Della Maddalena to the mat early, establish control, and look for the submission. If he can do that, Makhachev could become one of the rare lightweights to claim gold at two different weight classes.
On the other hand, Della Maddalena could stuff the takedowns and keep the fight standing. Striking is the one area where Makhachev can be troubled and we saw this when Alexander Volkanovski forced him into deep waters and a narrow decision.
Della Maddalena’s precise boxing and composure could see him drag Makhachev into the later rounds, where his cardio and volume come into play.
With that in mind, a rounds bet looks like the safest route. Over 3.5 total rounds is currently priced at 1/1 with Betfred.
No Expiry Date
Della Maddalena hasn’t finished any of his last four fights before the third round, and Makhachev’s early stoppages may not translate as effectively at welterweight.
If you’re hunting for value, a small stake on Della Maddalena to win isn’t unreasonable. At an implied probability of 28% and with an unblemished UFC record, the Australian champion offers underdog potential.
Makhachev’s short odds are understandable, but at this higher weight, he’s only a slight favourite in real terms.
Jack Della Maddalena vs Islam Makhachev Key Stats
| Jack Della Maddalena | Metric | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| 18–2–0 | Record | 27–1–0 |
| 180 cm | Height | 177 cm |
| 77 kg | Weight | 77 kg |
| 29 | Age | 34 |
| 185 cm | Reach | 177 cm |
| 6.84 | Significant Strikes per Minute | 2.63 |
| 52% | Striking Accuracy | 58% |
| 0.16 | Average Takedowns per 15 mins | 3.20 |
| 11% | Takedown Accuracy | 53% |
| 4.53 | Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.55 |
Jack Della Maddalena vs Islam Makhachev Verdict
Two elite fighters at their peak with one chasing legacy, the other defending perfection. Expect a tense start and a tactical chess match between Makhachev’s grappling and Della Maddalena’s clean striking.
