You can’t ask for a bigger start than this; our Women’s Rugby World Cup tips kick off Friday with a bang as we scrum down on three cracking value bets.
Women’s Rugby World Cup Odds
| Market | Odds from William Hill | Return from £10 |
|---|---|---|
| USA to Beat Handicap (+53.5) | 5/6 | £18.33 |
| USA – Over 1.5 Tries | 11/10 | £21 |
| Ellie Kildunne – Player to Score 2 or More Tries | 6/5 | £22 |
You know what’s brilliant about this? You can mix and match however you like. We’ve priced the bets individually, but if you want to supersize it in honour of our American guests, £30 (£10 per pick) could net you a tasty £61.33. Considering the risk involved, that’s a proper whopper of a deal.
Women’s Rugby World Cup Tips
Bet 1: Roses Red, Eagles Blue, Handicap’s Bonkers, Value’s USA Too (5/6)
The bookies are REALLY rating England in this one. Look, we’re all for confidence and national pride, but a 53.5 handicap is a gap the size of Texas.
Yes, it’s a mismatch; we get it. If winning rugby games were birthdays, the Red Roses would be drinking age in the USA soon, as they’re zoning in on their 21st win over the Eagles. Add in their 27-match unbeaten run, and it feels about as certain as Northern Rail being late that England will come out on top again.
But here’s the thing: the last time England actually cleared a 53.5 handicap was back in March against Wales, and even then, they only just squeaked over the line with a 55-point margin. In fact, that’s the only one of their last 10 games that would’ve landed this bet. And the last time they faced the USA? A 40-point win, which is roughly where we see this one landing too.
Crunch the numbers, and we put the true probability of them covering 53.5 around 10–15%. That makes a handicap bet on the USA one hell of a value play.
Bet 2: Trying Times for the Bookies – William Hill Drop the Ball on USA Over 1.5 Tries Odds (11/10)
William Hill have been around since 1934, so we think it’s important to be nice to them because they’ve clearly gone a little bit senile. They have the USA at 11/10 to score over a measly 1.5 tries. Frankly, it looks like they’re not even trying (pun very much intended) to get it right. As the Americans say, whatever.
More value for us.
Bottom line, USA have bagged at least two tries in each of their last six matches, including three against England the last time out. All the logic in the world says this one’s very likely, we’ve got it closer to a 70–80% shot. This means William Hill are once again serving up value so good, someone really ought to check if they’ve remembered their tablets this morning.
Bet 3: Kildunne Braces for Glory – England Star to Charge Past the Doubters (6/5)
To be absolutely clear: we think England are going to do brilliantly here. Have the bookies perhaps gone giddy with patriotic rugby fever, leaving some crazy value on the table in the USA’s direction? Rumour has it William Hill temporarily replaced all their markets with pictures of rugby balls and crumpets, but we can’t confirm that.
What we can confirm is that we think England will chalk up another confident win, led by the unstoppable Ellie Kildunne. She’s been a powerhouse since joining the England squad in the 2018 Six Nations, where she won Player of the Match on her debut against Ireland at the ridiculously young age of 19. Makes news about Nickolas Jackson’s transfer look like a middle-aged man’s career move.
How good is she? 120 points over 48 games. Add in the mismatch in team quality and the size of the occasion, and a brace feels very achievable.
Once again, the bookies can’t seem to make up their minds, pricing something we see as very likely (around 70-75% true probability) as close to a coin flip. A brilliant way to round off our trio of transatlantic value bets.
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