Isak heading to Liverpool? The best football betting sites aren’t sold quite yet.
Shockwaves were sent through the transfer market on Tuesday when Fabrizio Romano revealed that Liverpool are planning a club-record bid for Newcastle United striker Alexander Isak.
The Reds are reportedly willing to pay up to £120 million to land the Swedish star — but only if Newcastle open the door. As it stands, the Magpies are standing firm, and bet365’s latest odds for Isak’s next club reflect just that.
Isak Next Club Odds & Probabilities
| Club on 03/09/2025 | Odds* | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 4/7 | 64% |
| Liverpool | 5/4 | 44% |
*Odds correct as of 18:00, 16/07/25
The bookies tell a simple story: Isak is staying put or joining Liverpool – no Arsenal, no outsiders. The transfer tug-of-war has narrowed to two clubs.
Why is Isak 4/7 to Stay at Newcastle?
Quite simply, Isak is irreplaceable.
The Swede has scored a remarkable 62 goals in 109 appearances for the club. In the Premier League alone, he has 54 goals in 86 games, including 23 goals in 34 appearances last season – second only to Mohamed Salah. He’s already Newcastle’s second all-time Premier League top scorer, just three years in.
Newcastle also secured Champions League football last season largely thanks to Isak. With Callum Wilson already released and no direct replacement signed, letting Isak go would leave them painfully short up front. Signing one, let alone two, top-level strikers in today’s market is no easy task.
Selling Isak now would be a massive gamble, even at a record-breaking fee. While £120 million would break Premier League records, the timing feels wrong for a club hoping to build, not rebuild.
What Are the Chances Liverpool Get Their Man?
The odds might favour Newcastle, but Liverpool’s interest is very real.
They’re ready to offer Isak a six-year deal and a salary that would make him one of their top earners. Reports also suggest Isak has grown frustrated after the collapse of a promised new contract from Newcastle’s former owners. Liverpool have made it clear to his camp that they see him as the long-term spearhead of their attack.
From the player's perspective, the financial package is one thing, but the sporting offer is just as compelling. Leading the line for one of Europe’s most storied clubs, with the chance to challenge for Premier League and Champions League titles, could be too tempting to turn down.
Yet, leaving Newcastle isn’t a small move. Isak is adored on Tyneside, and the idea of becoming a club legend there is still very much on the table. The question now is whether he prioritises loyalty and legacy, or silverware and status.
No Expiry Date
Isak's next move could be the story of the summer window. Newcastle remain firm in their stance, but Liverpool’s growing pressure and Isak’s potential discontent could shift the equation.
If he stays, the transfer drama between these two teams may not be over, given Liverpool could intensify their pursuit of Frankfurt’s Hugo Ekitike instead.
