It’s all to play for in the Champions League Semi Final second leg ties. Inter Milan and Barcelona are all level after a thrilling first leg match, while Arsenal travel to Paris Saint-Germain looking to overturn a 1-0 deficit. But what do the bookies think? We bring you the odds and the key betting angles heading into a pivotal week.
Inter Milan (3) vs Barcelona (3)
Before the first leg tie Inter Milan would have undoubtedly taken a 3-3 draw. However, at one point they were 2-0 up.
Barcelona, though, hit some real heights to come back into the tie and, while both sides had chances to win on the night, the bookies make Hansi Flick’s side are favourites to both win inside 90 minutes at the San Siro and to progress.
| Result | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan | 2/1 | bet365 |
| Draw | 23/20 | bet365 |
| Barcelona | 29/10 | bet365 |
| Odds correct as of 05/05/2025, 11:30. Odds subject to change. |
These are some other markets that caught our eye with bet365:
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes | 8/13 |
| Under 3.5 cards | 1/1 |
| Lamine Yamal to Score or Assist | 4/5 |
| Odds correct as of 05/05/2025, 11:30. Odds subject to change. |
Six of Barcelona’s last eight matches and five of Inter’s last eight matches have seen three goals or more. We might not get another six-goal blockbuster, but we expect goals at both ends.
Inter have only averaged 1.85 cards per game in this season’s Champions League. Barcelona has an even better disciplinary record with only 1.08 cards per game. Only two cards were shown in the first leg tie.
Lamine Yamal was outstanding in the first leg. The Barcelona wonderkid has five goals and three assists in the Champions League this season, with three goals and one assist coming in the knockout stages. We expect him to have an impact again.
Paris Saint-Germain (1) vs Arsenal (0)
PSG stunned Arsenal four minutes into the first leg when Ousmane Dembele finished off a Khvicha Kvaratskhelia cut back to give the French champions the advantage. Although PSG dominated the early stages the Gunners fought back. Gianluigi Donnarumma was forced into some excellent saves and a Mikel Marino effort was ruled out for offside.
While the tie is far from over, Arsenal won at Real Madrid in the quarter finals, Mikel Arteta’s side have a mountain to climb in the second leg. The bookies make PSG favourites to get the job done inside 90 minutes.
| Result | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| PSG | 21/20 | bet365 |
| Draw | 13/5 | bet365 |
| Arsenal | 5/2 | bet365 |
| Odds correct as of 05/05/2025, 11:30. Odds subject to change. |
These are some other bets we saw value in with bet365:
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 4/7 |
| Over 9 Corners | 4/6 |
| Bukayo Saka to Score or Assist | 21/20 |
| Odds correct as of 05/05/2025, 11:30. Odds subject to change. |
The only match in which Arsenal have failed to score in their last 13 was last week’s first leg tie against PSG. The Parisians have scored in each of their last 13 games. We are expecting goals at both ends. Arsenal knows that they need a win on the night to progress. If they are forced to overcommit, then PSG will have more gaps to exploit.
PSG have averaged 6.5 corners per game in the Champions League. Arsenal has an average of 5.46. The first leg only saw four corners, which we see as a blip. We think that there is a healthy chance of flag kicks reaching double figures on Wednesday.
PSG are unlikely to sit back and defend. A key part of their game is the attacking threat presented by the forward runs of both full-backs. Arsenal could look to exploit the space out wide. Bukayo Saka has seven goal involvements in eight Champions League appearances this season, including a goal at the Bernabeu in the quarter final. We expect him to be a threat.
Champions League Outright Odds
The bookies make PSG the favourites to lift the trophy ahead of Barcelona. Check out the odds from bet365.
| Champions League Winner | Odds |
|---|---|
| PSG | 6/5 |
| Barcelona | 9/4 |
| Inter Milan | 4/1 |
| Arsenal | 7/1 |
| Odds correct as of 05/05/2025, 11:30. Odds subject to change. |
If you’re looking to bet on the finalists, these are the odds from bet365.
| Name the Finalists | Odds |
|---|---|
| PSG/Barcelona | 19/20 |
| PSG/Inter Milan | 29/20 |
| Arsenal/Barcelona | 7/1 |
| Arsenal/Inter Milan | 19/2 |
| Odds correct as of 05/05/2025, 11:30. Odds subject to change. |
