We’re deep into the FIFA Club World Cup now, which means we’ve seen enough to spot smart picks, while the bookies, bless ’em, haven’t quite caught up. So, here’s a cheeky three-fold acca packed with value on every leg that could net you a whopping £238.87 back on a tenner.
There may only be three games to choose from, but with value in every fixture, that’s no bad thing. Plus, it means there’s every reason to tune into each one, whatever happens. Happy days.
| Match | Market | Odds from bet365 |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica vs Auckland City | Both Teams To Score – Yes | 5/2 |
| Flamengo vs Chelsea | Flamengo To Win | 5/2 |
| Los Angeles FC vs Esperance de Tunis | Over 2.5 Goals | 19/20 |
*Odds correct as of 11:24am on Friday, 20th June 2025
Benfica vs Auckland City: Both Teams To Score – Yes
We get why the bookies aren’t confident, Auckland looked completely defenceless in that 10-0 mauling by Bayern. But Benfica aren’t Bayern, and we reckon the New Zealanders will be out to restore some pride.
We’re not saying they’ll win, but we do fancy them to make a game of it and to find the net at least once. Set the Bayern battering aside, and Auckland have actually scored in eight of their last ten matches.
Sure, Benfica are a step up from what they’re used to, but they’re hardly watertight themselves, conceding in each of their last five games. A Benfica win looks nailed on (bookies have them at 1/200, so we’re not touching that), but Auckland to score? We’d call that a 50/50 shout, which makes the 5/2 (28.6% implied probability) look like serious value.
Flamengo vs Chelsea: Flamengo To Win
If there’s one lesson from this tournament, it’s this: don’t underestimate the South American clubs. And yet, the bookies are doing exactly that.
Flamengo are the reigning Série A champions, currently top of the table, and come into this match unbeaten in ten games. Meanwhile, Chelsea had a solid Premier League run, finishing fourth. Impressive, sure, but does that really justify them being 23/20 favourites (46.5% implied probability) against Brazil’s best? We’re not convinced.
Let’s not forget, English teams have a history of treating these smaller tournaments like glorified friendlies and can seem more concerned with avoiding injuries than chasing silverware. We’re not saying Chelsea will sleepwalk through this one… but if you’re betting on hunger and intent, Flamengo are the pick.
We’d peg their true win chance around 45%, way up from the bookies’ 12/5 (29.4% implied probability). In other words: massive value on the Brazilians.
Los Angeles FC vs Esperance de Tunis: Over 2.5 Goals
We’re absolutely scoobied when it comes to picking a winner here, but Over 2.5 Goals? Now you’re talking.
Our logic? Simple. Four of LAFC’s last five games have seen 3+ goals. Espérance de Tunis? Three out of five. We’re not mathematicians, but we don’t need Pythagoras to tell us that’s a 70% hit rate.
With these two looking evenly matched, we’d expect that goal-friendly form to carry through. So why are the bookies pricing Over 2.5 Goals at 5/2 (28.6% implied probability)? That’s wild. At those odds, it’d be rude not to back it.
